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Rt.,
here is my observation with few traders after interview with Arch Crawford
on CNBC when he named mid February as a baaaaad date for stocks. As Clyde Lee
has strong date for Feb 14th
slawek
>Did not listen but apparently he said baaaad date mid February.
I found from cycles good relation for Mid Feb low.
first US dollar has low on intermediate medium & long term cycles,
then applying James Brock Of Triad & Puetz 25.8 month cycle
(all weekly dates)
12/23/2000 low + 25.8 months = Feb 15 2003
10/10/98 low + 51.6 months (2X25.6) = 2-01-03
9-6-96 low + 77.4 (3X25.6) = 2-15-03
7-2-94 low + 103.2 (4X25.6) = 2-15-03
9-22-01 low + 16.8 month (16 month cycle) = 2-15-03
5-11-02 low + 9.2 months (9 months cycle) = 2-15-03
there is short term cycle running 27 to 32 trading days from low to low
last 11-13-02 low + 32 = 12-31-02 low + 32 trading days = 2-14 -03 low
all points its should be a low
if we use last trading cycle low on 11-13 to top 12-2 & repeat on this cycle,
then expect top around 1-17-03 before we start going down to mid Feb date
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