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Recommended New Year day  read.
http://www.ess.ucla.edu/faculty/sornette/
Look under Predictions:    
                             then The future of USA stock market
also good papers under Publications: Finance 
They specialize in Scientific Predictions of Catastrophes.
Since 50% of populations owns stocks directly or via retirement, its popular 
subject to do research on.
His predictions are in agreement with Benner cycle low in 2003
 I mention on this forum before 
 
SLAWEK
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