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RE: [RT] short term top



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Yes 
Charles that is correct. However, I believe it will be a short lived pullback. I 
do not have downside targets yet, but they will likely be higher than those 
I had posted earlier in this thread. I am now of the opinion that we are in the 
early stages of a strong BEAR market rally that will likely last into 
January.
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<SPAN 
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  <FONT face=Tahoma 
  size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Charles Meyer 
  [mailto:chaze@xxxxxxxx]Sent: Thursday, October 17, 2002 1:24 
  PMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT] short 
  term top
  Ernie-
   
  Thanks for your thoughts and comments.  I'm 
  interpreting your work as saying that the market will
  'probably' be down tomorrow?
   
  chas
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
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    ----- Original Message ----- 
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
    Hill, 
    Ernie 
    To: <A 
    href="mailto:'realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx'" 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>'realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx' 
    Sent: Thursday, October 17, 2002 1:03 
    PM
    Subject: RE: [RT] short term top
    
    
    Today's high so far of 885 satisfies my first target range. 
    If you are already long I would hold long for a move higher into the first 
    range or possibly on up to the 904-905 range. I would enter a protective 
    stop for 875.
    Likewise since we have reached within six points of a target 
    range and then retreated to move outside the six point range we now have a 
    potential sell signal at approximately 875. After today's high we should see 
    at least a two day drop toward the 10-23 low plus or minus two 
    days.
    Good trading to all,
    E<SPAN 
    class=675300018-17102002>
    PS: All targets 
    are for the cash index
    
      <FONT face=Tahoma 
      size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Hill, Ernie 
      [mailto:ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Wednesday, October 16, 2002 
      8:25 PMTo: 'realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx'Subject: RE: 
      [RT] short term top
      <SPAN 
      class=449221901-17102002>Hi Ben,
      <SPAN 
      class=449221901-17102002> 
      <SPAN 
      class=449221901-17102002>Thanks for the compliment, but it may be a tad 
      premature. We shall see. The post I made to my group tonight best 
      explains my position. Here it is.
      <SPAN 
      class=449221901-17102002> 
      <SPAN 
      class=449221901-17102002>  
      I am not yet completely convinced 
      that the high is in. Yesterday&#8217;s high of 881.27 was uncharacteristically 
      short of the forecast target. I am usually within six points. I know this 
      is splitting hairs, but it causes me some concern. If the high has yet to 
      happen it will almost certainly have to happen tomorrow. A break of 875 
      cash basis, and we will likely put in a new high for the move tomorrow. If 
      we do see a new high for the move tomorrow it would be a real good place 
      to get short if we move to within six points of the target ranges, which 
      for tomorrow will be 889-890 & 904-905.
       
      If the high has indeed been made I 
      am forecasting a low for 10-23 plus or minus 2 days, and I am leaning 
      toward this low coming in on the early side of that date. My first target 
      range is 817-825 the next target range would be 812-806. A break of 855 
      tomorrow will all but confirm yesterday as the high, and set the stage for 
      further decline to the first target range.
       
      E<SPAN 
      style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><A 
      href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts/";>http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts/
      
        <FONT face=Tahoma 
        size=2>-----Original Message-----From: profitok 
        [mailto:profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Tuesday, October 15, 
        2002 9:50 PMTo: 
        realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: [RT] short term 
        top
        Great call Ernie
         
        were in price and time is your next turn?
        (my vote is for 10/21)
        Ben
        <BLOCKQUOTE 
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          ----- Original Message ----- 
          <DIV 
          style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
          <A href="mailto:ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx"; 
          title=ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx>Hill, Ernie 
          To: <A 
          href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
          title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ; <A 
          href="mailto:SPX_Swing_Trading@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
          title=SPX_Swing_Trading@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>SPX_Swing_Trading@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
          
          Sent: Tuesday, October 15, 2002 
          11:17 AM
          Subject: [RT] short term 
top
          
          
          <SPAN 
          style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">I am looking for a short 
          term top either today or early tomorrow in the 887-890 
          range.
          <SPAN 
          style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"> 
          <SPAN 
          style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">E
          <SPAN 
          style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"><A 
          href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts/";>http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts/
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