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RE: [RT] short term top



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Today's high so far of 885 satisfies my first target range. If 
you are already long I would hold long for a move higher into the first range or 
possibly on up to the 904-905 range. I would enter a protective stop for 
875.
Likewise since we have reached within six points of a target 
range and then retreated to move outside the six point range we now have a 
potential sell signal at approximately 875. After today's high we should see at 
least a two day drop toward the 10-23 low plus or minus two days.
Good trading to all,
E<SPAN 
class=675300018-17102002>
PS: All targets are 
for the cash index

  <FONT face=Tahoma 
  size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Hill, Ernie 
  [mailto:ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Wednesday, October 16, 2002 
  8:25 PMTo: 'realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx'Subject: RE: 
  [RT] short term top
  Hi 
  Ben,
  <SPAN 
  class=449221901-17102002> 
  <SPAN 
  class=449221901-17102002>Thanks for the compliment, but it may be a tad 
  premature. We shall see. The post I made to my group tonight best 
  explains my position. Here it is.
  <SPAN 
  class=449221901-17102002> 
  <SPAN 
  class=449221901-17102002>  
  I am not yet completely convinced that 
  the high is in. Yesterday&#8217;s high of 881.27 was uncharacteristically short of 
  the forecast target. I am usually within six points. I know this is splitting 
  hairs, but it causes me some concern. If the high has yet to happen it will 
  almost certainly have to happen tomorrow. A break of 875 cash basis, and we 
  will likely put in a new high for the move tomorrow. If we do see a new high 
  for the move tomorrow it would be a real good place to get short if we move to 
  within six points of the target ranges, which for tomorrow will be 889-890 
  & 904-905.
   
  If the high has indeed been made I am 
  forecasting a low for 10-23 plus or minus 2 days, and I am leaning toward this 
  low coming in on the early side of that date. My first target range is 817-825 
  the next target range would be 812-806. A break of 855 tomorrow will all but 
  confirm yesterday as the high, and set the stage for further decline to the 
  first target range.
   
  E<SPAN 
  style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA"><A 
  href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts/";>http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts/
  
    <FONT face=Tahoma 
    size=2>-----Original Message-----From: profitok 
    [mailto:profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent: Tuesday, October 15, 2002 
    9:50 PMTo: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject: Re: 
    [RT] short term top
    Great call Ernie
     
    were in price and time is your next turn?
    (my vote is for 10/21)
    Ben
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
      ----- Original Message ----- 
      <DIV 
      style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
      Hill, 
      Ernie 
      To: <A 
      href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
      title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx ; <A 
      href="mailto:SPX_Swing_Trading@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
      title=SPX_Swing_Trading@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>SPX_Swing_Trading@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
      
      Sent: Tuesday, October 15, 2002 11:17 
      AM
      Subject: [RT] short term top
      
      
      <SPAN 
      style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">I am looking for a short term 
      top either today or early tomorrow in the 887-890 
      range.
      <SPAN 
      style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"> 
      <SPAN 
      style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt">E
      <SPAN 
      style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; FONT-SIZE: 10pt"><A 
      href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts/";>http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts/
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