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[RT] Re: Elliott Wave question



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--- In realtraders@xxxx, "tradewynne" <tradewynne@xxxx> wrote:
> --- In realtraders@xxxx, "RB" <rhodes@xxxx> wrote:
> >   Since we have had a few posts about elliott wave and markets. I 
> would like to ask a question.
> > 
> >    If you have a up move a have a clear 5 waves up then the market 
> starts down:
> > 
> >  1.  How can you tell if the down move is going to be an  A,B,C 
> correction
> 
> You don't. There are several corrective patterns. A simple idea might 
> be to wait until after a corrective pattern unfolds and then fade it.

Attached chart shows a 1 minute "abc" off the RTH Open.

> >  Any indicators that tip the correct waves off?
> 
> I like the ADX. It tends to peak on impulses and bottom 
> on corrections, but sharp "C" waves will whip it up.

You can see the ADX  valley near the end of the little "abc." 

> > But I am sure there must be a simple way to tell what is going on, 
> 
> :-) "It's simple, but it ain't easy."

As "simple" as an abc pattern might be you can get into a real can of worms
since Elliott patterns "work" on all degrees of scale. Is this an abc
in a larger ABC? What are the 5, 15, hourly, daily, weekly, yearly,
or "grand super cycle" counts? I like the idea of KISS and not worrying too
much about too many time frames.
 
> >so one can be ready for the 4th and 5th waves down or the 1,2,3,4,5 
> waves up.
> 
> Like many things, sometimes it's clear, sometimes it's not. I don't
> think the idea is to predict the next little "4th" wave up, but to be 
> short since a corrective rally, or a big part of one, ended @ SPX 965 
> and the pattern is still impulsive to the downside. IF there is 
> a "4th" up, and if the pattern is clear, then maybe that's a place to 
> sell some more.

See 15 minute SPX attached.

> 
> > 
> >   Any ideas?
> > 
> >  Thanks,


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