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> -----Original Message-----
> From: John Cappello [mailto:jvc689@xxxxxxx]
> Sent: Friday, September 06, 2002 4:12 PM
> To: Gary Funck; Realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx Com
> Subject: [RT] P/E inflation and the tenuous relationship between E and P
>
>
> Dear Gary,
>
> I appreciate your response and simply believe it is not a cut and dry
> logic issue.We are also comparing apples to oranges when you compare
> Schiller data to American Fund Group data which I have in hand.I make
> no comparison of any other fund group but believe most financial
> planners would lean toward the oldest and biggest and best managed
> funds. 5% annual withdrawal and still having close to double your
> money is not bad.
John, I agree that this is really an abstract debate. I'm curious though,
which American Fund were you using as the comparison base line? I did a
spreadsheet calculation, which says that to double your money in 10 years,
the basic appreciation rate was 7.18%. With taking 5% out every year, the
total return would have to move up 12.24% per year in order to achieve a
double in the price. That's very good when you consider the S&P price total
return was 4.78%/year in the 1970's.
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