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<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:blue'>Hi
Ben,
<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:blue'>
<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:blue'>Actually,
today’s new low would make today the signal day in terms of my analysis. From
my point of view a close above today’s high would be a confirmation signal.
However, since I am long as of yesterday I would really like a close above Tuesday’s
high instead. <font size=2
color=blue face=Wingdings><span style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:
12.0pt;font-family:Wingdings;mso-ascii-font-family:Arial;mso-hansi-font-family:
Arial;color:blue;mso-char-type:symbol;mso-symbol-font-family:Wingdings'><span
style='mso-char-type:symbol;mso-symbol-font-family:Wingdings'>J<span
class=EmailStyle20><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:blue'>
<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:blue'>
<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:blue'>E
<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial'>
<font size=2 color=black
face=Tahoma>-----Original
Message-----
From: profitok
[mailto:profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
Sent: Wednesday, September 04,
2002 10:54 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Cc: Vincent DONOVAN; Dorothy
Carter
Subject: Re: [RT] SPX forecast
Update
<span
style='font-size:12.0pt'>
<font size=2 color=black
face="Times New Roman">you were
right so far<span style='color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'>
<font size=2 color=black
face="Times New Roman">Now lets see
if the market can close above Tuesday high to confirm long positions<font
color=black>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:39.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=2 color=black
face=Arial>-----
Original Message ----- <span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:39.75pt;background:#E4E4E4;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=2 color=black
face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;
font-weight:bold'>
From:<font size=2 color=black
face=Arial> <a
href="mailto:ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx"; title="ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx">Hill, Ernie
<span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
Arial;color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:39.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=2 color=black
face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;
font-weight:bold'>To:<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'> <a
href="mailto:'realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx'" title="realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx">'realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx'
<span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:39.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=2 color=black
face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;
font-weight:bold'>Sent:<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black'> Tuesday, September 03,
2002 10:25 PM<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:39.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=2 color=black
face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;
font-weight:bold'>Subject:<font size=2 color=black
face=Arial> RE:
[RT] SPX forecast Update<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'>
<p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto;
margin-left:39.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman"> <font
color=black>
<p style='margin-left:39.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=2 color=navy
face=Arial>Sent in
rich text format, but chart did not show up! Here is chart.<font
size=2 color=black face=Arial><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial;
color:black'> <<876.gif>> <span
style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'>
<p style='margin-left:111.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=2 color=black
face=Tahoma>-----Original
Message-----
From: Hill, Ernie [<a
href="mailto:ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx";>mailto:ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx]
Sent: Tuesday, September 03, 2002
9:22 PM
To: <a
href="mailto:'realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx'">'realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx'
Subject: RE: [RT] SPX forecast
Update<span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'>
<p style='margin-left:255.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">The market
can be very humbling. What I rated as a small chance has come to pass. The
876-884 target range is the last of my projected target ranges for the
termination of the current short term down move.<font
color=black>
<p style='margin-left:255.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">883.63 is the
critical .618 retracement level for the move from the 8-5 low to the 8-22 high.
876 is literally the line in the sand. My work does not show any support levels
of significant strength below 876. Should the market drop from here to below
833 before terminating this current down swing, it would cause me to have to
perform a major re-evaluation of the markets current price structure.<font
color=black>
<p style='margin-left:255.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">While the
market can move below the 876 level it must close above it for my target range
of 876-884 to be valid. It has been my experience that all significant turning
points occur very near to strong support or resistance levels. This particular
turning point has made itself significant by the strength of the markets move
down to it.<span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'>
<p style='margin-left:255.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">My timing
model is screaming for a turn to be made, and we are at the last strong support
level that I see before breaking the 8-5 low of 833.44. My methodology is now
staring the market right in the face. Which will blink first?<font
color=black>
<p style='margin-left:255.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">E<font
color=black>
<p style='margin-left:255.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=2 color=black
face=Tahoma>-----Original
Message-----
From: Hill, Ernie [<font
color=black><font
size=2 face=Tahoma>mailto:ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx<font
size=2 color=black face=Tahoma><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma;
color:black'>]
Sent: Thursday, August 29, 2002
9:01 PM
To: 'realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx'
Subject: RE: [RT] SPX forecast
Update<span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'>
<p style='margin-left:255.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">The market
played out scenario #3, and appears to have completed the current down move.
While I have a very high degree of confidence that today was the low for move,
until we see a confirmation signal there is still a small chance that we could
go lower. For the sake of clarity the confirmation signal will be a closing
price above today's high.<span
style='color:black;mso-color-alt:windowtext'>
<p style='margin-left:255.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">E<font
color=black>
<p style='margin-left:255.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman"><a
href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts";><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>http://groups.yahoo.com/group/<span
style='font-weight:bold'>snpforecasts<font
color=black>
<p style='margin-left:399.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=2 color=black
face=Tahoma>-----Original
Message-----
From: Hill, Ernie [<font
color=black><font
size=2 face=Tahoma>mailto:ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx<font
size=2 color=black face=Tahoma><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma;
color:black'>]
Sent: Wednesday, August 28, 2002
9:41 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [RT] SPX forecast Update<font
color=black>
<p style='margin-left:399.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">Once again
today could be the bottom, as we came within a whisker of the 910-913 target
range, and both of my short term cycle indicators are suggesting that a turn is
imminent. While the next target level of 876-884 is still a possibility, at
this point I would have to say that it is not very likely that we will go that
low.<span style='color:black;mso-color-alt:
windowtext'>
<p style='margin-left:399.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">The 910-913
range has emerged as the high probability target for the termination of this
short term down move. The most likely scenario for tomorrow would be a move
slightly lower into the target range or just below before the market terminates
the move, and begins to go higher. The second most likely scenario is that the
market will open higher and continue to move higher from there. And the third
most likely scenario would be a continuation of the down move possibly as low
as 900, with an intra-day reversal featuring a closing price above at least 911.
Each of these scenarios involves the 910-913 target range.<font
color=black>
<p style='margin-left:399.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">Despite the
high probability that we are about to make a turn and not likely to go much
lower, until we see the turn confirmation signal this market could still reach
the lower target range<span style='color:black;
mso-color-alt:windowtext'>
<p style='margin-left:399.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman">E<font
color=black>
<p style='margin-left:399.75pt;border:none;mso-border-left-alt:solid black 1.5pt;
padding:0in;mso-padding-alt:0in 0in 0in 4.0pt'><font size=3 color=black
face="Times New Roman"><a
href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts";><span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Arial'>http://groups.yahoo.com/group/<span
style='font-weight:bold'>snpforecasts <font
color=black>
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