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<span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Brian,
<span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>
<span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Thanks for the attaboy, but I did give
three possible scenarios, so I had a reasonably decent chance that one of them
would play out. As for how do I do that, simple answer is experience. I have
seen that particular set-up many times before.
<span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>
<span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>E
<span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>
<span
style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma'>-----Original Message-----
From: Brian Keith Voiles
[mailto:admagic@xxxxxxxx]
Sent: Thursday, August 29, 2002
9:12 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: RE: [RT] SPX forecast
Update
<span
style='font-size:12.0pt'>
<span
style='font-size:12.0pt'>Great call Ernie!
I was thinking about you all day today and your "forecast".
Excellent work. How do you do that!?
Warmly,
-- Brian
At 08:00 PM 8/29/2002, you wrote:
<span
style='font-size:12.0pt'>The market played out scenario #3, and appears to have
completed the current down move. While I have a very high degree of confidence
that today was the low for move, until we see a confirmation signal there is
still a small chance that we could go lower. For the sake of clarity the confirmation
signal will be a closing price above today's high.
E
<span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
Arial'>http://groups.yahoo.com/group/<a
href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts";><span style='font-weight:
bold'>snpforecasts
<span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
Arial;color:navy'>
<span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:
Arial;color:navy'>
-----Original
Message-----
From: Hill, Ernie [<a
href="mailto:ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx"; eudora=autourl>mailto:ernie.hill@xxxxxxxxxx]
Sent: Wednesday, August 28, 2002
9:41 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [RT] SPX forecast Update
Once again today could be the bottom, as we came within a whisker of the
910-913 target range, and both of my short term cycle indicators are suggesting
that a turn is imminent. While the next target level of 876-884 is still a
possibility, at this point I would have to say that it is not very likely that
we will go that low.
The 910-913 range has emerged as the high probability target for the
termination of this short term down move. The most likely scenario for tomorrow
would be a move slightly lower into the target range or just below before the
market terminates the move, and begins to go higher. The second most likely
scenario is that the market will open higher and continue to move higher from
there. And the third most likely scenario would be a continuation of the down move
possibly as low as 900, with an intra-day reversal featuring a closing price
above at least 911. Each of these scenarios involves the 910-913 target range.
Despite the high probability that we are about to make a turn and not likely to
go much lower, until we see the turn confirmation signal this market could
still reach the lower target range
E
<a
href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts";>http://groups.yahoo.com/group/<a
href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/snpforecasts";><span style='font-weight:
bold'>snpforecasts
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