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RE: [RT] Hurst-Fourier Forecast



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Thanks Clyde.  Are all these developments that you come up with
gradually
being integrated into the Hurst envelopes?

Adrian


> -----Original Message-----
> From: Clyde Lee [mailto:clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx] 
> Sent: Monday, 29 July 2002 9:32 PM
> To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> Subject: Re: [RT] Hurst-Fourier Forecast
> 
> 
> Adrian,
> 
> You did not mention the "classical" single line Fourier 
> computation in your question.  That is what I use.
> 
> I use the MEM (mesa) approach to perform the analysis and 
> obtain the spectral lines which are most dominant and then 
> use those values to calculate within the data the amplitude 
> and phase of each of those selected cycles (in the price case 
> up to 6 -- in the Hurst envelope a maximum of 4 -- just the 
> way it is programmed nothing else).
> 
> Once we reach the last bar on the chart (or last date 
> specified if that type of analysis is done) then the phases 
> are incremented for each of the projected dates and the last 
> derived amplitude(s) are used for the prediction.
> 
> The FFT can be used to "fit" a set of data but is useless as 
> a tool for prediction since all it does is repeat the 
> analyzed data! ! !
> 
> Today's computers are so fast that the FFT is really not 
> needed any more.
> 
> The only "forcing" (if it can be called that) is the 
> selection of which spectral lines to use in the 
> model/projection of a given symbol.
> 
> Clyde
> 
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - -
> Clyde Lee   Chairman/CEO          (Home of SwingMachine)
> SYTECH Corporation          email: clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx
> 7910 Westglen, Suite 105       Office:    (713) 783-9540
> Houston,  TX  77063               Fax:    (713) 783-1092
> Details at:                      www.theswingmachine.com
> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - - -
> 
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Adrian Pitt" <apitt@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Monday, July 29, 2002 4:12 AM
> Subject: RE: [RT] Hurst-Fourier Forecast
> 
> 
> > Hi Clyde,
> >
> > Can I just clarify some stuff on your chart please?
> >
> > 1.  Is the Fourier you use FFT and not the MESA derived 
> calculation? 
> > 2.  Are the rising lines coming off the low there because 
> you made the 
> > assumption
> >     this would be a meaningful low based on the Fourier projection? 
> > i.e a forced
> >     prediction.
> >
> > As this low is occurring before your projected low., 
> perhaps it will 
> > create a Double Bottom or marginal new lows for a loss of momentum 
> > type reversal signal?
> >
> > Adrian
> >
> >
> > > -----Original Message-----
> > > From: Clyde Lee [mailto:clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx]
> > > Sent: Monday, 29 July 2002 1:39 PM
> > > To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] Hurst-Fourier Forecast
> > >
> > >
> > > Let's look at something that looks at a hell of a lot more data 
> > > (Back to 1921).
> > >
> > > Of all the analytic approaches available, it is my 
> opinion that the 
> > > results of the SwingMachine analysis tell us all that there is to 
> > > know based on history (and all other methods are also based on 
> > > history).
> > >
> > > The attached should indicate what has happened in the last 3/4 th 
> > > century and what is probably going to happen in the next 
> few weeks.
> > >
> > > Just to keep the short-term folks happy (only analyze 
> 1000 days of 
> > > price data) we have added the Fourier analysis of current price 
> > > data.
> > >
> > >
> > > Clyde Lee.
> > >
> > >
> > > - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - -
> > > Clyde Lee   Chairman/CEO          (Home of SwingMachine)
> > > SYTECH Corporation          email: clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx
> > > 7910 Westglen, Suite 105       Office:    (713) 783-9540
> > > Houston,  TX  77063               Fax:    (713) 783-1092
> > > Details at:                      www.theswingmachine.com
> > > - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - - -
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "John Cappello" <jvc689@xxxxxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Cc: <MedianLine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Sunday, July 28, 2002 7:59 PM
> > > Subject: [RT] Hurst-Fourier Forecast
> > >
> > >
> > > >
> > > > Given what the sunspots and other potential shorting ideas
> > > are coming
> > > > through, would those  who use Hurst-Fourier consider a post in 
> > > > here.
> > > >
> > > > John
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: 
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> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
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