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Re[6]: [RT] Re: One Day Rally or Start of New Trend



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Hello M. Simms,

you are right, 0.490408

I still think, upper range of returns may be practically useful.


Best regards,
 Alex                            mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx


Monday, July 29, 2002, 6:50:50 AM, you wrote:

MS> but what is the R-squared (pearson correlation coefficient) ?
MS> can't be more than .5 or so...

>> -----Original Message-----
>> From: Alex Bell [mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx]
>> Sent: Sunday, July 28, 2002 6:14 PM
>> To: M. Simms
>> Subject: Re[4]: [RT] Re: One Day Rally or Start of New Trend
>>
>>
>> Hello M. Simms,
>>
>> next  step  was  to  look  for  dependance on greater time frames. two
>> upswings  - 04/04/2001-05/21/2001 and 09/21/2001-12/05/2001 calculated
>> and  plotted  same  way  as  in  previous study. looks like it makes a
>> sense.  and  probably  could serve as approach for picking stocks. see
>> attached.
>>
>>
>> Best regards,
>>  Alex                            mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
>>
>>
>> Saturday, July 27, 2002, 4:42:23 AM, you wrote:
>>
>> MS> nicely done......and this makes sense.....many laggards
>> bounce.....only
>> MS> temporarily.
>>
>> >> -----Original Message-----
>> >> From: Alex Bell [mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx]
>> >> Sent: Friday, July 26, 2002 7:19 PM
>> >> To: Clyde Lee
>> >> Subject: Re[2]: [RT] Re: One Day Rally or Start of New Trend
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> Hello Clyde,
>> >>
>> >> recently   I  completed  small  study  of  similar  nature  for  ~2000
>> >> individual  stocks:  I tried to figure out wherever dependance existed
>> >> between  strength  of  1-day  rally  from  bottom  on September 21 AND
>> >> strength  of  consecutive  up-swing  into December 5. for each stock I
>> >> calculated  2  numbers:  %%  it  made  on  September 21 and %% it made
>> >> between  September  21 and December 5. then I plotted all these stocks
>> >> on  2-dimensional graph where X-axis represents 1-st number and Y-axis
>> >> represents  2-nd  number.  should any statistical dependance existed I
>> >> would  see points grouping along diagonal LINE razing from zero to the
>> >> right  upper  corner.  but  nothing proved my initial assumption which
>> >> sounded  "logical"  at  the  first  take.  see attached. NO remarkable
>> >> grouping  at  all.  conclusion:  how  stock  acted on the first day of
>> >> market rally had no implication for 2-month up-swing.
>> >>
>> >> Best regards,
>> >>  Alex                            mailto:alex_bell@xxxxxxx
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> Thursday, July 25, 2002, 4:50:16 PM, you wrote:
>> >>
>> >> CL> Attached are 3 charts covering time periods in which significant up
>> >> CL> moves began.
>> >>
>> >> CL> The red bars are days in which the range of the high for
>> that day to
>> >> CL> the lower low of that or the prior day exceed 6 percent.
>> >>
>> >> CL> Now you have a basis for deciding whether there is a likelihood of
>> >> CL> this being more than a one day rally.
>> >>
>> >> CL> Clyde
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> CL> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - -
>> >> CL> Clyde Lee   Chairman/CEO          (Home of SwingMachine)
>> >> CL> SYTECH Corporation          email: clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx
>> >> CL> 7910 Westglen, Suite 105       Office:    (713) 783-9540
>> >> CL> Houston,  TX  77063               Fax:    (713) 783-1092
>> >> CL> Details at:                      www.theswingmachine.com
>> >> CL> - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - - - - - - -
>> >>
>> >> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
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>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
MS> http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
>>>
>>>





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