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My own option model is on a sell for today too
Ben
----- Original Message -----
From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, July 26, 2002 7:47 AM
Subject: Re: [gannsghost] Mkt direction down?
> Jason,
> How long have you had your proprietary options model? Back on the 22nd
you
> mentioned it as starting in April as I recall. I am wondering if it has
had
> a long enough track record at this point to indeed be valid or did you
back
> test it over a longer time period (bull and bear)?
> don ewers
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: <jseaton357@xxxxxxx>
> To: <gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Thursday, July 25, 2002 11:48 PM
> Subject: [gannsghost] Mkt direction down?
>
>
> > Hello all. Everyone here covering my latests post last week got to see
in
> > real time along with myself that my proprieatary option model is
basically
> > worthless when we are in a parabolic decline. I had to learn that the
> hard
> > way and so now I know for future reference. Up to that point, when it
> turned
> > bullish it had never been wrong in anticipating a counter trend rally
over
> > the last several months. Up to this point, however, it has never been
> wrong
> > in projecting the direction of the mkt on the bear side. It turned very
> > bearish today and every time it has turned bearish like it is now the
SPX
> has
> > been unable to rally with any real strength and fails to close much
higher
> > and usually starts heading lower w/i a few sessions. We'll get to see
if
> it
> > turns out correct as it has been in past. Based on this alone I
wouldn't
> be
> > buying calls to participate in any assumed rally as they could lose
their
> > value very quickly. Also, if my model is right and stays bearish
> (something
> > I cannot know) too (a conditional) then Arch Crawford will not be
correct
> > about rallying until Aug 10. Should be fun.
> > Jason
> >
> >
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> >
> >
> >
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> >
> >
>
>
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