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[RT] Re: Prognosticators Anomymous



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Huh?  You call this market see sawing? Freefall is more like it.  140 
SPX pts in a week...200 SPX pts in 2 weeks...I don't think the SPX 
has ever gone down this fast in history.   


--- In realtraders@xxxx, John Cappello <jvc689@xxxx> wrote:
>  
> Judging by the close and charts I watch, I suspect more see sawing 
> but with an upward bias.
> 
> John
> 
> 
> 
> ------------------ Reply Separator --------------------
> Originally From: "Hill, Ernie" <ernie.hill@xxxx>
> Subject: RE: [RT] Prognosticators Anomymous
> Date: 07/23/2002 09:41pm
> 
> 
> So far the market is holding up, that is to say it is not crashing. 
> Right
> now the market stands at the edge of the cliff right at the 
> crossroads of a
> brief but possibly strong rally, and slipping into panic selling 
> crash mode.
>  
> Tomorrow's key levels are 791.55 and 780.
>  
> 791.55 represents a 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the move from the 
5-
> 17 high
> to the 6-14 low as measured from the 7-8 high. I have previously 
> posted the
> Fibonacci relationships associated with the 780 level.
>  
> The market could find support at either one of these two levels 
which 
> could
> spark a brief two to five day rally. If this rally does take place 
it 
> will
> likely be only an interruption to the current powerful down trend. 
If 
> the
> 780 level fails to hold support tomorrow there could be full scale 
> panic
> selling.
>  
> I do not think that will be the case. First off my timing model is 
> calling
> for a short term bottom to be made tomorrow +or - 4 trading days. 
> Secondly
> the 780 level appears to be a very strong support level, and 
finally 
> it
> looks like we are completing a short term corrective pattern on the 
> hourly
> chart that often precedes reversals.
>  
> E  
>  
>  
> 
> 
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