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> > > There were a few localized showers. But, all I experienced were
sunny
> and
> > > s
scorching 95+ degree days.
Norman,
We had some beneficial rain across IL last night, hence the sell-off
today. Although I'm long from lower levels, this might be a good re-
trace to enter long. The following are the most recent comments sent
by farmers to the Agweb.com website crop conditiions section, for
those interested.
Steve
7/23: Emmit County, Iowa: We received .35 inches of rain on Sunday to
bring the total to 3.1 inches since June 1st. We were very dry then.
We have had less than one half of our average rainfall in the last
year (28.0 inches average).Crops are lost on all the hills and sand.
Crops started to hurt already on Monday. I have not had crops look
like this since 1988. Some seed dealers and fertilizer sales people
are predicting 40 to 50 bushels less per acre than normal on a corn
yield and that can only happen if we get more rain. Otherwise the
yields will be much less.
7/23: Shelby County, Illinois: We received 1-2 inches of rain in the
area last evening and 1.4 inch at our farm. Prior to rain, corn was
hurting. April corn has been hurt by Japanese beetles and weather.
Think most of the May corn is almost done pollinating and beans
should be helped by this rain. Praise the Lord for this million
dollar rain.
7/23: Champaign, Illinois: We received 1.6 inches last night! This
was a real saver for us. The corn was very stressed. The county south
of us got 4-6 inches, and west only 1/2 inch. Rain still seems to be
spotty, but a little more widespread last night. Hope everyone got at
least a little.
7/23: Johnson County, Missouri: Cold front went through last night,
looked like sure rain but ended up with .01. Corn looks sad but has
an ear and seems to have pollinated fairly well. Grain depth and test
weight will keep yields in the 80 bu range. Beans are very short but
staying green and hanging onto leaves so August rains could make
normal crop.
7/23: Northwest Iowa: Current hot dry conditions remind me of the
1983 and 1988 growing seasons. I especially remember 1983 where here
we seemingly had dodged the drought bullet as many kernel counters
were out doing their thing and predicting good to very good yields
based on rows times kernels per row times a factor that was based
upon "typical kernel weight" which was the fly in the ointment. Heat
stress typically manifests itself in the last variable kernel depth.
Yields were short (about 35% lower) and when the kernel counters
discovered their error it was in the assumption that kernel weight
was going to be typical and when this factor was properly identified
their counts gave a fair representation of yields.
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7/22: Dallas County, Iowa: Last rain was July 10th other than a few
sprinkles. Unfortunately, it came with 90+mph straight line winds.
Sure can see the difference in varieties. My worst has 30-60% green
snap estimated by the seed corn rep. Sickening site when walking or
tripping thru it. Never had green snap before and hope to never
again. Tons of grasshoppers just now starting to feed heavily.
Outside two or three rows of silks are gone and don't know if it got
pollinated or not. The latest heat seemed to actually set the beans
back. Some 30" rows were starting to close but seemed to actually
widen out again with the upper 90's heat this past weekend. Average
at best cuttings of hay so far and has been put down by the winds. We
will need rain desperately soon. My biggest bone to pick is with the
American model forecasters. Think they have a lot of short positions
on the Board of Trade.
They continually forecast rain and cool weather while the Euro,
Canadian and Naval models show just the opposite. Guess they did flip-
flop today. Lots of games being played by non-farmers who get a
bigger piece of the pie than the actual producer.
7/22: Southeast Michigan: We received 3-4 in in the last 24 hrs - the
first significant rainfall in 6 weeks. We have about 200 acres of
corn that "might" make 40 bushel and another 500 that might reach 80.
We have 700 ac that could still reach 140's. Beans held on pretty
well and still could be at trendline. If only we could have gotten
this 3 weeks ago!! Hope you all get the moisture you need!
7/22: Northeast Indiana: We have the most highly stressed and poorest
corn crop in our area that I have seen in my 42 years of farming. If
we could start getting significant rainfall, I'm still uncertain if
the best fields can yield 50% of trend line. Many fields are already
toast. Our beans of course, have more time for rains to help make a
respectable crop. However, during the past few days, the most
stressed areas of bean fields are beginning to show signs of serious
deterioration and will perish without some good rainfall immediately.
7/22: Northeast Illinois: I was looking at your drought index page
and am disappointed that our area is not even listed as a slight
drought. We are into our 6th week of basically no rain. The last rain
we had, July 9th was scattered at best and only trace to .3". We are
in serious trouble here.
7/22: Stearns County, Minnesota: We got 4 rains the last 3 weeks -
each the crop needed very much for it was much too dry. But the corn
stand lost this spring with a 4 week delay in coming up, so we will
have some yield loss. We had a bad drought last year with a 80% yield
loss - it can't get that bad here this year. Tell Bush to get with it
on disaster aid - the farm program is based on getting a good crop.
Drought and floods create a disaster.
7/22: Northwest Iowa: Here in Lyon County we are hanging on as best
as can be expected, we
were fortunate enough to have one field received 7/10 of an inch of
rain Sunday night but everything else got enough to settle the dust
and that was about it. Everything is pollinating or at least trying
to so it is extremely critical that we get rain soon. We had a
another week with heat indexes in the 100's which really zapped the
corn. It is supposed to be better this week with a couple chances of
rain. The sandy ground is gone, the mediocre could maybe do a half a
crop with rain and the good ground is hanging on for all its worth so
yields are not going be great but could still have a decent crop if
we get rain soon. Beans are basically shut down until it rains again,
they still have a chance at being pretty good too if it rains soon.
7/22: Northeast Iowa: It appears that nothing short of hail or the
rains stopping will keep most of farmers in harvesting their largest
corn crop ever. It appears that yields here could top the 1994 yield
bonanza. Truly the garden spot of 2002's corn and soybean production.
Corn is into pollination and notice a surprising number of plants
hanging two large ears. If it does turn dry, the second ear will
diminish, but the yield will still be above trend line averages.
7/22: Sac County, Iowa: (Update from 7/22 posting) We got half of an
inch of rain Sunday night. The rain and the lower temps take the
pressure off for a little bit.
7/22: Northwestern Ohio, Fulton County: Want to report we have
received less than 1/2 in. of rain since May 12. Crops of soy beans
and corn are really hurting... highly stressed.
7/22: Elk Horn, Iowa: Crops are hurting with less then 4 inches of
rain for June and July. Received .2 inches of rain today, to little
to late. Grasshoppers are becoming the problem, silk is 50% to 100%
eaten. A week ago 100 plus bu. corn looked possible today half of
this is closer! The future must be bright because it's been dark far
to long and still getting darker.
7/22: South Central South Dakota: 7/21/02 rained for two hours for a
total of 1/4 of an inch. First rain since the last week in April!
7/22: Black Hawk County, Iowa: Lots of thunder and lightning last
night, but only 0.2" of rain. Last rain was on 7/9 of 0.9". Crops
need cooler weather this week. Our rainfall has been hand-to-mouth
all spring and summer. So far the crops still look good. Corn is
still pollinating and appears to be doing so without a lot of plant
stress. We're going to need rains, however, to fill out the ears as
the subsoil has got to be about empty. Praise the Lord for good
subsoils and deep root systems this year. Without them, we would
really be hurting. Soybeans in 30" rows have about closed the row
with canopy and look good. Need lots of rain, though, to gain more
height, and set and fill pods. Can't believe how spotty the rains
have been this summer. Need an all night 3" rain badly. We're 15
miles NE of Waterloo and have had 4" less rain just this month alone.
We've been missed by some really good rains several times recently,
but fortunately have had just enough to date to get by. Really feel
for those less fortunate this year. It appears that many farmers are
really being hurt by drought.
7/22: Eastern Virginia: We are on the eastern shore and have had no
rain since 6/13/02. Corn nearly a complete loss. Have seen bad
irrigation ponds and wells nearly dry 2 yrs in arow severly dry here.
7/22: Clinton County, Missouri: No rain for 3 weeks. corn was filling
well until the last 2 days. 95+degree and 30 mph southwest wind
really taking its toll. Soybeans look ok except for leaf beetles.
Will have to start spraying if it doesn't rain.
7/22: South-central Nebraska: Corn here is no longer under stress, it
is dead! Friday through Sunday had temps over 100 for a total of
18hrs. We have had no rain since May 28. We are also having trouble
putting up hay, not due to humidity like you guys in Iowa, but
because it never greened up after the first cutting. Oh well, try and
find a job and get ready for next year.
7/22: Central Georgia: Have started to get afternoon thunderstorms.
Dryland corn is over with and will make enough to combine with no
insurance payment. Peanuts are looking good but have a tremendous
amount of tomato spotted wilt virus and will consequently produce a
limited crop. Irrigated nuts are all looking great.
Cotton is responding well to the showers and is looking better by the
day. There really hasn't been much fruit shedding to this point
because of the dry weather. What fruit has been lost has been because
of the worm pressure.
Soybeans are holding their own. The strip-tilled beans have held up
the best during this dry weather and look really good now with these
rains. The conventional beans were cultivated too dry and had nearly
died before the rains started. I don't know how long it's going to
take some of these old-timers to realize that they are plowing away
their limited moisture when they cultivate these beans. With RR
technology it makes absolutely no sense to plow RR beans but most of
them do.
7/22: Floyd County, Iowa: We received 1 and 3/4 inches of rain last
night. Our corn looks like it will probably be the best crop that we
have ever harvested. The beans still look like they could be
trendline yields.
7/22: West Central Indiana. Planted in wet soil and then the dry
weather came and crops are stress to the max . May get some rain
today , already lost 35% of our yields , no carry over this year in
Indiana .
7/22: Central Iowa: Cracks in soil getting larger, but corn is
holding up pretty well. Soybeans haven't grown much as they wait for
rain. No rain over the weekend and suspect corn stress will mount
this week amid a lack of showers.
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7/21: Van Buren County, Iowa. Crops are being stressed badly every
day. We've had .3 inches of rain since the 9th of June. Mid to upper
90's almost every day. They've had good rains 30 miles either side of
us, but we can't seem to be lucky enough to get any.
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