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[RT] Re:Jeff Roth's comments



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told ya,  I flunked.

actually I dropped the course, to avoid the inevatible.
picked up family and marriage.
more women in that class.
got an A, by agreeing with the prof
on whatever she said.  also the course
was short of men, so I was a novelty.

So why can't ya have a 100 % probability
of the Indu reaching 10000, given no time frame.

If some one says a 60% probability of reaching it,
(time not specified),  why not 100% chance, given
eternity.

Maybe my selection of words is off a bit, not learning
the correct lingo of the statistical world.



And to the group members suggesting Ultra,
thanks for the info.

I once followed a great market timing service
" MIRAT " .  beat the pants off all the other guys,
that is till it crash and burned.  a little to much curve fitting
and optimization.  Seems the current market just didn't fit into
his past model so well.  History may repeat itself,  but may not
do so, before you are broke.

Ultra has some good stuff.  Thanks for the info.

Well, gotta put on my Wal Mart uniform, and greet the
masses at the front door.  I figure, with a $250-$300
capital gain loss carry foreward,  I can work for another
83.33 years, and still not have used all my deductions against
earned income.

Maybe I can use that sand bar stuff, a Hurst, some Fib, and a little
uncommon sense,  and eat away that loss carry foreward with some 
capital gains. a new dawn, a new system, new hope.

soap products are in Isle 9,  baby food to your left.








--- In realtraders@xxxx, Zaitzeff@xxxx wrote:
>    Sorry about the last, a slip of the finger sends mail on its way.
> 
> Dear Jeff,
>     Your comment "I flunked statistics and probability in 
school, ." implies 
> that you took those courses in school. 
>     Your comment "Why not a 100% probability, ." implies, to me, 
that you did 
> not attend classes and, neither did you open or read your assigned 
texts.
>     My assumption and prediction is, that if you trade actively and 
wager a 
> moderate amount, you will end up with very little money. 
>     Forgive my assumption as re your proper name. 
>        Larry Z,  Seattle


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