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More likely the parameters for generation of the prediction of
the cycle were wrong.
We will have to wait for the Centered Moving Averages to catch
up with the data to make the kind of judgment you have made
with insufficient data.
Remember, the REALTIME values for the Hurst channels are an
ATTEMPT to predict what the real values of the CMAs will be
and that ATTEMPT to estimate can be really wrong at times.
Everyone needs to understand that the attempt to estimate the
realtime CMA values is strictly that -- an attempt. Currently we
are using classical Fourier analysis and have limited ourselves
to only 3 components to construct envelopes. We may be
using too many or too few -- at this stage in development I
do not have a good feeling of what it takes to better match the
eventual values of the CMAs but you can bet we are still
working on it.
Clyde
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Clyde Lee Chairman/CEO (Home of SwingMachine)
SYTECH Corporation email: clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx
7910 Westglen, Suite 105 Office: (713) 783-9540
Houston, TX 77063 Fax: (713) 783-1092
Details at: www.theswingmachine.com
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----- Original Message -----
From: "bondo92677" <bruce.larson@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Wednesday, July 03, 2002 12:25 PM
Subject: [RT] What happened to the Hurst cycle?
> I guess we fell into the 10% of the time its wrong.
>
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