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[RT] Commodity Bargains - Reply to Norm and others interested



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Norm,

I believe you are right about sugar and coffee. At these prices I 
would look at them as investments and not for quick trades. Re. 
wheat, I do not believe the world carryover will permit $2.00 wheat 
this year.

John



------------------ Reply Separator --------------------
Originally From: "Norman Winski" <nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] Commodity Bargains - Reply to J Coppello
Date: 06/20/2002 10:36pm


John,

   At $2.70, wheat is not all that cheap. $2 is cheap for wheat.  My 
picks
last fall were
Copper, Cotton, Coffee, Soybeans, & Sugar.  I have since exited the 
Copper
for approx. a 12 cents ($3,000 per contract), and I exited the part 
of my
cotton longs that I bought at 28.20 cents at circa 39.20 cents 
($5,000 per
contract). 28 cents for cotton is cheap. Adjusted for inflation, this 
was
cheaper than the 8 cent low it made at the bottom of the 1930s 
depression.
Did you happened to notice the huge breakout to the upside for cotton 
today?
It exploded over its recent six month consolidation highs.  Please 
find
below two cotton charts for your perusal. My study of 200 years of 
cotton
prices revealed that cotton is a very trending market. Once it picks a
direction, it goes and goes.
My study also indicated that once a major low was in place, it usually
recovered 20-30 within about six months.  Currently, cotton is 
running a
little behind my expected schedule.
However, it seems that the news today revealed that perhaps the 
cotton glut
will not be big as what was perceived. With further action such as 
today,
cotton could quickly make up for lost time and price.  Bottomline, I
wouldn't be surprised to see cotton back to the high 50s or low 60s 
in the
near future. It should be worth a bale of money. <G>

     If you missed buying cotton, there is still opportunity. Coffee 
& Sugar
are still relatively cheap.  I would also buy Soybeans on a pullback.

Cheers,

Bargain Hunter Norm

P.S. I went to the grocery today and found our favorite salad 
dressing, Paul
Newman's Caeser, on sale for about 1/3 off. I bought all they had.






----- Original Message -----
From: "John Cappello" <jvc689@xxxxxxx>
To: "Norman Winski" <nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>; 
<realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, June 20, 2002 5:01 PM
Subject: [RT] Misc. Mechanical System Performance Real Time.


> Norm,
>
> Right on. I bought a lot of July wheat at $2.70 per Grandmill
> analysis.
>
> But I still am in mutual funds and trade the S&P and Nas 
mechanically
> proprietarily [better than what was commercially posted].
>
> I just can not help myself to diversify. I lack your discipline.
>
> John
>
>
>
> ------------------ Reply Separator --------------------
> Originally From: "Norman Winski" <nwinski@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Subject: Re: [RT] Misc. Mechanical System Performance Real Time.
> Date: 06/20/2002 02:56pm
>
>
> John,
>
>  Thanks for that info. It goes to show that my posts over the past 8
> months
> promising a Chinese water torture stock market were on the mark.  Of
> course,
> you and I know that the place to be is commodities per my posts 
going
> back
> to last fall.  I foresee no change for this scenario for many months
> to
> come. Buy excessively depressed commodities for long term investment
> and go
> on vacation. You will know the post bubble stock market bear market 
is
> coming to an end when you hear that several major stock brokerage
> firms on
> the verge of failure.
>
> Regards,
>
> Norman
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "John Cappello" <jvc689@xxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Cc: <MedianLine@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Thursday, June 20, 2002 12:14 PM
> Subject: [RT] Misc. Mechanical System Performance Real Time.
>
>
> > The following are real time statistics provided to me from a
> > brokerage firm:
> >
> > T MESA S&P -$14,445 YTD end of May
> >
> > SP Strategies -$25,700 YTD end of May
> >
> > Trend Adv S&P + $7,915 YTD end of May
> >
> > S&P Dominater -$50 YTD end of May
> >
> > NSS Daytrader -$4,215 YTD end of May
> >
> > There were a few others but this gives the gist how the majority
> have
> > performed in this choppy market.
> >
> > John
> >
> >
> > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> >
> >
> >
> > Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to
> http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
> >
> >
>
>
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