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Re: [RT] Crash scenario



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As the pessimism builds and more and more people become bearish the likely hood
of bear market rally that will rip the shorts becomes more likely.  We haven't
seen the give up yet, but when all those that want out of stocks are out, then
the selling will come from only those who still want to short this market.  As
this happens the risk of a massive bear market rally could occur.  If you have
large short positions now may be the time to look for upside protection.  Bear
market rallies are vicious and take no prisoners.  Ira

Earl Adamy wrote:

> I think that the Fed will be _extremely_ wary of disturbing the markets in
> any manner, even to risk of market misinterpreting a move. Thus, I think
> that if there were any such change afoot, Fed members would have been
> hitting the lecture circuit to prepare the market. I doubt _very_ much that
> there will be any change beyond a change in bias and even that could be
> interpreted as a sign of weakness by the market.
>
> Earl
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "M. Simms" <prosys@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: "RealtradersList" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Tuesday, May 07, 2002 10:01 AM
> Subject: [RT] Crash scenario
>
> > This idea came from the rumor about the Fed possibly LOWERING S/T interest
> > rates one more time....
> >
> > 1) Bond and 10Yr note market go bonkers and drop like a rock
> > 2) All-important yield curve, already at 1929 levels, goes practically
> > verticle
> >
> > Result:
> > 1) hopes of longer term capital spending are dashed
> > 2) any stock with any growth premium in the price gets totally trashed
> > 3) Gold goes thru the roof
> >
> >
> >
> >
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> >
> >
> >
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> >
> >
> >
>
>
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>
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