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What has struck me about this market is that when we made the top a couple of months ago the VIX dipped below 20 setting up a warning that we could be nearing a top. Even after the decline we have seen, the VIX has only climbed to 23.2 on Friday. Today it moved up to 24.9 but at this rate it will take a crash or crashette to get it over 30-34 and put some real fear in the market.
This goes along with your scenario.
Howard Bernstein
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