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[RT] Fw: Fibo example (Final)



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Never showed up ... reposting.

----- Original Message -----
From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: "Realtraders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Wednesday, April 17, 2002 2:05 PM
Subject: Re: Fibo example (Final)


> Still none of my posts showing up! Attached is chart into NY close. I
think
> this clearly demonstrates that fibs have value in trading ... price
reversed
> 2-3 ticks above confluence in price and exactly on one of the two time
> targets. This confluence of time, price and change in trend was
fortuitous,
> however one is not forced to take a trade when the picture is not clear.
>
> Earl
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> To: "Realtraders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Wednesday, April 17, 2002 1:47 PM
> Subject: Re: Fibo example
>
>
> > None of posts have shown up .. here is confluence of time and price, buy
> > order in 112375 limit
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: "Realtraders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Wednesday, April 17, 2002 12:34 PM
> > Subject: Re: Fibo example
> >
> >
> > > First post has not shown up yet but thought I'd send along another.
38%
> > time
> > > retracement of the secondary low did not hold the low, now we have
> > > confluence of the 38% primary time retracement and 62% secondary
> > > retracement. Also a cluster of price targets in a 2 handle range. This
> is
> > > not the nice clean looking chart I like to work with but you work with
> > what
> > > you have.
> > >
> > > Earl
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> > > To: "Realtraders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Wednesday, April 17, 2002 11:29 AM
> > > Subject: Fibo example
> > >
> > >
> > > > Another fib chart in emini, this is 5 minute.
> > > >
> > > > a) major rally stopped 2 ticks short of the 68% retracement back to
> the
> > > > 1156.25
> > > > pivot high.
> > > >
> > > > b) W.C stopped 2 ticks short of the 100% expansion where W.C = W.A.
> This
> > > > would be a minimal price correction.
> > > >
> > > > c) left vertical cyan line is the 38% time retracement of the rally
> from
> > > the
> > > > 1102.50 secondary low, right cyan line is 38% time retracement of
the
> > > rally
> > > > from the 1100 primary low. I do not consider a correction complete
> until
> > a
> > > > minimum 38% time retracement has been met.
> > > >
> > > > d) heavy green lines at 1122.25 and 1121.25 are the 38% retracement
> > levels
> > > > measured from the primary and secondary lows ... I generally look
for
> a
> > > 38%
> > > > retracement level to be reached following a major price move.
> > > >
> > > > e) also shown is a retracement tool to measure the rally from the
last
> > low
> > > > and so far, the 62% + 1 tick has contained the rally.
> > > >
> > > > Should retracement time, retracement price, and correction
expansions
> > come
> > > > together in confluence, I would consider a long position with tight
> stop
> > > to
> > > > have a very high probability of profit. As the chart evolves, I may
> see
> > > > other opportunities should the "ideal" not show up.
> > > >
> > > > Now, if some of the programming genius' here want to program this
> stuff,
> > > be
> > > > my guest. At one time I was a programming maven, did a lot of work
on
> > this
> > > > stuff, and never succeeded in getting close to the kind of eye and
> hand
> > > work
> > > > I can do very quickly on a manual basis.
> > > >
> > > > Earl
> > > >
> > >
> >
>

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