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[RT] Ehlers CG Routine for Picking Turning Points



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In the May 2002 issue of Technical Analysis for 
STOCKS & COMMODITIES,
John Ehlers published an algorithm which he termed 
Center of Gravity and
shows that by comparing the CG value for 1 bar ago 
to the CG value of the
current bar, all significant swings could be 
detected.
 
I took his algorithm and added a bit such that 
whenever a change in 
direction was detected by CG then I looked back 1/2 
the length of the
number of bars being used to compute CG and 
detected the exact
highest/lowest bar within that range and set that 
as the reversal bar.
 
This was structured similar to the Swing_Lee_Simple 
function and
was termed the  Swing_Ehlers_Simple  
function.  In both cases the
routines returned a signed value indicating how 
many bars back it
was to the last turn.  If the sign is negative 
then the last pivot is a high
and prices are trending down.
 
The attached chart makes a direct comparison of the 
two routines.
 
In the case of the Ehlers routine, it was necessary 
to use an NBars
parameter of 12 to get close to what an NBars 
parameter of 8 in the
Lee routine returned.
 
The Ehlers routine consistently detects equivalent 
pivots one or two
bars earlier than the Swing_Lee routine BUT it also 
is prone to make
false picks at times.
 
It does not appear that the false picks would be 
interpreted incorrectly
by any rational person and so there may be a place 
for the Ehlers
routine in indicators/systems designed to take 
advantage of Pivots.
 
This is being published to 3 lists and I apologize 
to those who get
multiple copies of this but I consider this one of 
the most significant
developments reported in this area in a long 
time.  Feel free to forward
this to other lists that have an interest in such 
matters.
 
Clyde
 
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -  - - 
- - - - -Clyde Lee   
Chairman/CEO          (Home of 
SwingMachine)SYTECH 
Corporation          email: <A 
href="mailto:clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx";>clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx  7910 
Westglen, Suite 105       
Office:    (713) 783-9540Houston,  TX  
77063               
Fax:    (713) 783-1092Details 
at:                      
www.theswingmachine.com- - - - 
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