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Lee,
Actually it is 7-12-02 (not 7-15-02) and the next
hump 8-22-02. See if this gif is any better.
Actually it has been performed pretty well
since September, but some caution is advised though, since seasonals only work
when they work :-)
Also I should have taken the .382 retracement off
the chart, since we all know from the previous discussion that they did not
"apparently" work 4 times here :-O
don ewers
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Don
Ewers
To: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Friday, April 12, 2002 4:29
PM
Subject: Re: [RT] No Prisoners
Lee,
7-15-02 and the next hump 8-22-02.
I use EOD.
don ewers
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Lee Morris
To: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Friday, April 12, 2002 4:13
PM
Subject: RE: [RT] No Prisoners
<FONT color=#0000ff face=Arial
size=2>Don, what is the date on the far right of the chart when the green
seasonal line turns down, the snagit bug covered it up, also was this done
w/ EOD or RT
<FONT face=Tahoma
size=2>-----Original Message-----From: Don Ewers [<A
href="mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx">mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]Sent:
Friday, April 12, 2002 4:38 PMTo: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx">realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxSubject:
Re: [RT] No PrisonersIra,You would not be
talking about this would you (dark green bold line)?don
ewers----- Original Message -----From: Ira Tunik
<irat@xxxxxxxxx>To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent:
Friday, April 12, 2002 2:25 PMSubject: Re: [RT] No
Prisoners> what about the ever present summer rally?
isn't that seasonality?>> bobskc@xxxxxxxxxxxx
wrote:>> > Not sure about the "sliding down a wall of
optimism" but the sentiment> > figures are 25% bulls. The
wall of worry seems to be well in place.Only> > an idiot
expects earnings about to come out very good and
asexpectations> > continue to be lowered, firms will finally
be able to meet them. My> > concern is becoming the
seasonality affect. We are getting into warm> > months and
summer has not been a good time for equities in recent years.>
>> > Bob (Fundamentalist)> >> > At
11:25 AM 4/12/2002 -0400, you wrote:> > >Ira> >
>> > >You say the market looks like a disaster, then point
out the facts that> > >suggest, well, it isn't really a
disaster!> > >> > >None of the major indices has
taken out even its February low yet, so> > >you are quite
right that we haven't produced a major downturn. Yet.> >
>> > >To me, the market is sliding down a wall of optimism
(or whatever the> > >reverse of climbing a wall of worry is).
Stocks with good news go up,> > >but stocks with bad news go
down harder. The earning cycle of next week> > >will be
decisive, in my view, in setting the emotional environment for>
> >the next few months. Quick attention to outperformers will slowly
lose> > >out to the realization that business overall just
isn't that good, and> > >isn't going to get better
soon.> > >> > >I also see this jiving with Ben's
bounce next week, followed by further> > >declines as the
truth sets in.> > >> > >JMHO> >
>DanG> > >> > >Ira Tunik wrote:> >
> >> > > > In a market that took no prisoners today
there was an interestingevent> > > > that
occurred. Out of the top volume leaders on the Nasdaq and
theNYSE> > > > here were the only up stocks. CPQ,
AAPL, BRCD, BRCM, FLEX, MO, WM.> > > > Basically one food
stock, one bank and the rest high tech. Couldthe> >
> > bottom be in for the Hi-tech stocks. Where could the funds
berunning> > > > to for safety now and what will the
redemptions force them to do?In a> > > > market that
looks like a disaster, the Dow is still over 10,000,have we>
> > > seen the bottom or just the start of a big slide.
Until 9500 istaken> > > > out we are still in an
uptrend, so there is more then 500 pointsthat> > > >
can come out of this market and the direction will still be
thesame.> > > > That means that there is still plenty
to be made in eitherdirection.> > > > Good
trading,
Ira.
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