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Re: [RT] Fw: LowRisk.com Investor Sentiment - 03/04/02



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The numbers are interesting but what is their correlation to reality for 
trading purposes?  Have you done any historical analysis on where the 
Dow ends up  vs. the sentiment guess?  Any analysis on how predictive 
this information can be? 

For instance on this report the bears still outnumber the bulls 2 to 1.  That 
might indicate this week's activity is just short covering and a false rally 
and not a true breakout to the upside.  But without any historical 
perspective it may just be you have a bunch of pessimists who visit your 
site ;)  Thanks for sharing the information though.

Bob

On 5 Mar 2002 at 0:32, profitok wrote:

> 
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: <jeff@xxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: "Lowrisk.com Investor Sentiment Report" <gtd@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Tuesday, March 05, 2002 12:10 AM Subject: LowRisk.com Investor
> Sentiment - 03/04/02
> 
> 
> > 
> > 
> > ----------------------------------------------
> > 
> > LOWRISK.COM
> > 
> > INVESTOR SENTIMENT REPORT
> > 
> > 03 / 04 / 2002
> > 
> > 
> > ------------------------------------------------
> > 
> > 
> > I have updated the historical sentiment data. It is now up
> > to date and includes all data since 1997. The data is at:
> > 
> > http://lowrisk.com/sentiment-hist.htm
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > ----------- A note from our sponsor ----------------
> > 
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> > 
> > Use these strategies to put cash in your pocket! Whether the
> > market is up or down, these strategies will be winners for
> > you! For more information, and a free report, visit:
> > 
> > > > http://www.lowrisk.com/tax.htm < <
> > 
> > ------------------------------------------------------
> > 
> > 
> > Below are the results of our weekly "Guess the Dow" sentiment
> > survey. The survey was taken from 02/25 through 03/04 on the
> > LowRisk.com web site.
> > 
> > 30 day outlook:
> > 
> > 28% bullish, 28% previous week
> > 59% bearish, 59% previous week
> > 13% neutral, 13% previous week
> > 
> > (percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding)
> > 
> > The median guess for the Dow closing value on Friday, 03/01:
> > 10,001 (it was 9,692 last week). More complete sentiment
> > data is available at: <http://www.lowrisk.com/sentiment.htm>.
> > 
> > Please put in your opinion on the market for next
> > week. It really helps our data. It only takes a minute at:
> > 
> > http://www.lowrisk.com/guess.htm
> > 
> > 
> > best regards,
> > Jeff Walker
> > 
> > 
> > Disclaimer:
> > 
> > The financial markets are risky. Investing is risky. The
> > foregoing has been prepared solely for informational
> > purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or
> > sell any security. Opinions are based on historical
> > research and data believed reliable, but there is no
> > guarantee that future results will be profitable.
> > 
> > 
> > Copyright (c) 2002 by Jeff Walker, Bayfield, CO.
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > 
> > ---
> > You are currently subscribed to gtd as: profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > To unsubscribe send a blank email to
> > leave-gtd-3676416W@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> 
> 
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