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I disagree about "no other place for money"; there is something to be said
for capital preservation. Yields of 5-3/4 to 6-1/2% don't look so bad for
Treasury Bonds ... some of those yields grabbed within the past couple of
months. Those semi-annual checks from the US Treasury look outstanding when
I look at the ride in equities. Even 5 star bond funds have been a bit
volatile due to widening yield spreads. This morning, the bear's concerns
about GSE bonds (FNMA, GNMA, FMAC) crept into Santelli's CNBC commentary.
Certainly, bonds can be volatile too but they do carry a significant
"dividend" which is nearly foreign to stocks these days.
Earl
----- Original Message -----
From: "BobsKC" <bobskc@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Monday, February 04, 2002 11:59 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] nasdaq 100 /sell
> We can't completely ignore the fundamental fact that there is no other
> place for money. If bonds were paying 8% I would look for a collapse but
> when you can't get enough to cover "real" inflation, people are going to
be
> looking for re-entry points non stop. IMO it's a stock pickers market and
> I don't think we will end this year much changed. I would guess down some
> from Jan 1 but I can't see the fundamentals folding up. People will make
> money this year on the long side but the dart boards can be retired. In
> any case, as traders, we don't much care .. just an observation.
>
> Bob
>
>
> At 09:20 PM 2/4/2002 -0600, you wrote:
> >Lots of similarities from August, 2001 to now. If this
> >is a valid comparison then there is going to be quite a
> >drop.
> >
> >I'm not convinced but cannot ignore the comparison.
> >
> >Clyde
> >
> >
> >- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> >Clyde Lee Chairman/CEO (Home of SwingMachine)
> >SYTECH Corporation email: clydelee@xxxxxxxxxxxx
> >7910 Westglen, Suite 105 Office: (713) 783-9540
> >Houston, TX 77063 Fax: (713) 783-1092
> >Details at: www.theswingmachine.com
> >- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
> >
> >----- Original Message -----
> >From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> >To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> >Sent: Monday, February 04, 2002 9:07 PM
> >Subject: Re: [RT] nasdaq 100 /sell
> >
> >
> > > Strong retracement, both models on sell now.
> > >
> > > Earl
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Friday, February 01, 2002 9:32 AM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] nasdaq 100 /sell
> > >
> > >
> > > > Wednesday's price action have both my NYSE and NASDAQ models on a
buy
> >and
> > > > the daily charts do not appear to have completed a final top. Since
the
> > > > ascent from the reversal low has been so steep, I expect a
retracement
> > > > lasting a few days. I will be looking for long entries on the
> >retacement.
> > > > This is from a trading perspective where trades can be carefully
managed
> > > > intraday ... not an investment perspective as I consider the market
to
> >be
> > > > exceedingly dangerous/risky/overvalued/hyped/volatile ... did I say
> > > > dangerous.
> > > >
> > > > Earl
> > > >
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "profitok" <profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > Cc: <gannsghost@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>; "Vincent DONOVAN"
> > > > <vdonovan@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>; "Victor Wadel" <panda22@xxxxxxxxx>
> > > > Sent: Thursday, January 31, 2002 5:33 PM
> > > > Subject: [RT] nasdaq 100 /sell
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > Unless we can close tomorrow above 1572.93 cash we are still in a
> >down
> > > > trend
> > > > >
> > > >
> > > >
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> > > >
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> > > >
> > >
> > >
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