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Re: [RT] Option Sentiment Indicator



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Hi Ben,
 
I'm interested in learning more about this 
indicator.  Could you give an example of how 
you trade it?
 
Thanks in advance.
 
Ray Raffurty
<BLOCKQUOTE 
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  ----- Original Message ----- 
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From: 
  <A title=profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>profitok 
  To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 
  
  Sent: Thursday, January 24, 2002 8:35 
  AM
  Subject: Re: [RT] Option Sentiment 
  Indicator
  AlexI have lost $500000   between 1973 
  and 1987  in the option game,,and FINALLY  figured out  how 
  to  decide at what  spice an index or stockwill close  on 
  expiration  dayit is very simple at that is what you want 
  reported  hourlythe  open interest  for example for the 
  qqq  Feb.  38  put  compare to theopen interest of the 
  38  callthe same for 39 and 40and same for 37 36 and 35(a 
  total of 5 above current price and 5 under current price)what you will see 
  is  that when put  open interest is 5 times and above ofthe call 
  open interest  that price CAN  be broken intra day  but not on 
  aclosing bases,,a   7 put to 1 call ratio  would 
  be  VERY  unlikely  to have penetratedintra 
  dayand  10 and above I would bet  my home on it   to 
  not be  traded under,,this would be very useful as one would 
  know  the MAJOR  support  andresistance  and sell 
  calls when we get close to resistance or buy putsany questions?nice 
  dayBen----- Original Message -----From: "Jacobson, Alex" 
  <AJacobson@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>To: 
  <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Sent: Thursday, January 24, 2002 10:32 
  AMSubject: [RT] Option Sentiment Indicator> Hey list .. I'd 
  like your input on a proposed new sentiment indicator.>> Here at 
  the ISE all of our orderflow is electronic .... retail,> institutional, 
  professional ... it's all electronic.  What we are thinking> about 
  doing is taking periodic snapshots  (maybe every 10 seconds) of 
  our> completed orderflow.  Orders to buy calls or sell puts would 
  be considered> bullish and orders to buy puts and sell calls would be 
  considered bearish.> The data may or may not be weighted by the size of 
  the orders .. too early> to tell.  Some folks have suggested 
  weighting the data based on mostactive> issues as 
  well.>> In effect if in the 10 second window we completed 500 
  bullish orders and400> bearish orders the indicator would be 1.25 
  .... again scale issues are yet> to be worked out.  Zero numbers 
  would a problem and we are working outsome> thoughts on that.  
  It has never occurred, but it is not impossible.>> In effect 
  this would create a pseudo tiki type indicator based on option> orders 
  completed .......  tiki has some advantages because of market cap> 
  issues.>> I'd appreciate hearing your comments.>> 
  Alex Jacobson> Vice President Business Development> I S 
  E> 212 897 8125> 212 425 4926 (FAX)> 877 7209918  
  (SKYPAGE)> ajacobson@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>>>> To 
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