If the Credit Bubble is the next to collapse, I tried to estimate how
long it would take to completely remove its effect from the US markets. I
applied a Re-scaled Range Analysis to weekly S&P 500 data (adjusted for
inflation) back to 1960. I came up with a cycle of 350 weeks. This would
estimate the contraction to last for about 10 - 11 years. Should be some
good opportunities on the way.
Ron McEwan
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