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you are right
you need trend to be your friend
and the seasonings and gravy is seasonality
nice weekend
Ben
----- Original Message -----
From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Saturday, December 15, 2001 8:16 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] seaonality
> One warning . . . seasonally is great, until it is not all that great.
>
> Everyone should keep in mind that seasonals contain data that was very
much
> "against the seasonal" in any given year or time frame.
>
> As I have said before (specifically on bonds) seasonality is about the 6th
> indicator one should follow . . and then only as a confirming only.
>
> It is said that if one works hard at it, one can always find a seasonal
that
> supports what one is looking for.
>
> Attached is the weekly bond seasonal that had worked so well before not
> working so well. My comments to at the time to another poster was, be
> careful . . . of "seasonals"?
> don ewers
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "profitok" <profitok@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Cc: <panda22@xxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Saturday, December 15, 2001 3:00 PM
> Subject: [RT] seaonality
>
>
> > The last 7 trading days of the year begin next Thursday and, as you can
> see
> > by the tables below, small caps are the place to be.
> >
> >
> > Last 7 days of December
> > S&P-500
> > Day7 Day6 Day5 Day4 Day3 Day2
> Day1 Totals
> > 1989-1 -0.03% 3 -0.18% 4 0.36% 5 -0.37% 2 0.09% 3 0.84%
> -0.60% 5 0.10%
> > 1990-2 0.11% 3 0.57% 4 0.77% 5 -0.18% 2 0.58% 3 0.53% 4
> 0.78% 5 3.16%
> > 1991-3 -0.02% 4 0.49% 5 -0.56% 1 0.29% 3 -0.77% 4 0.13% 5
> 0.46% 1 0.01%
> > 1992-4 1.18% 5 2.53% 1 0.63% 2 1.38% 4 0.40% 5 2.14% 1
> 0.47% 2 8.73%
> > 1993-1 -0.09% 2 -0.29% 3 0.17% 4 -0.14% 1 -0.27% 2 0.19% 3
> 0.00% 0 -0.43%
> > 1994-2 0.43% 3 0.01% 4 0.68% 1 0.09% 2 -0.08% 3 -0.41% 4
> 0.00% 0 0.72%
> > 1995-3 0.55% 3 0.01% 4 0.03% 5 0.57% 2 -0.35% 3 0.07%
> -0.41% 5 0.48%
> > 1996-4 -0.98% 3 0.75% 4 0.24% 5 0.38% 2 0.04% 3 -0.07% 4
> 0.29% 5 0.66%
> > 1997-1 0.42% 5 -0.26% 1 0.55% 2 0.64% 4 0.13% 5 -0.39%
> -1.74% 2 -0.65%
> > 1998-2 0.73% 1 -1.53% 2 -0.68% 3 0.40% 5 1.80% 1 1.83% 2
> 0.00% 0 2.56%
> > 1999-3 0.06% 2 2.07% 3 -0.18% 4 -0.06% 1 1.33% 2 -0.80% 3
> 0.00% 0 2.42%
> > 2000-4 0.19% 3 1.55% 4 -0.09% 1 0.04% 2 0.40% 3 0.07% 4
> 0.00% 0 2.16%
> > 2001-1 -3.13% 3 0.80% 4 2.44% 5 0.71% 2 1.04% 3 0.40%
> -1.04% 5 1.21%
> >
> > Averages -0.04% 0.50% 0.34% 0.29% 0.33%
> 0.35% -0.22% 1.62%
> > % Winners 62% 69% 69% 69% 69% 69%
> 50%
> >
> >
> > NASDAQ Composite
> > Day7 Day6 Day5 Day4 Day3 Day2
> Day1 Totals
> > 1989-1 -0.13% 3 0.24% 4 0.22% 5 -0.20% 2 0.05% 3 0.61% 4
> 0.61% 5 1.40%
> > 1990-2 0.58% 3 0.96% 4 0.79% 5 0.16% 2 0.79% 3 0.27% 4
> 1.07% 5 4.61%
> > 1991-3 0.29% 4 0.35% 5 -0.32% 1 0.00% 3 -0.36% 4 0.04% 5
> 0.71% 1 0.71%
> > 1992-4 0.23% 5 1.52% 1 1.04% 2 1.77% 4 1.15% 5 2.48% 1
> 1.14% 2 9.33%
> > 1993-1 -0.24% 2 0.32% 3 0.44% 4 0.06% 1 0.41% 2 0.42% 3
> 0.00% 0 1.41%
> > 1994-2 0.06% 3 0.35% 4 0.31% 1 0.46% 2 0.51% 3 0.34% 4
> 0.00% 0 2.03%
> > 1995-3 1.18% 3 0.30% 4 0.39% 5 0.54% 2 -0.50% 3 0.95% 4
> 0.32% 5 3.18%
> > 1996-4 -0.11% 3 1.50% 4 0.60% 5 0.24% 2 -0.12% 3 -0.56% 4
> 0.95% 5 2.49%
> > 1997-1 -0.56% 5 -0.70% 1 0.63% 2 0.54% 4 -0.25% 5 -0.28% 1
> 0.25% 2 -0.36%
> > 1998-2 0.48% 1 -1.45% 2 -0.69% 3 0.79% 5 1.72% 1 1.79% 2
> 0.00% 0 2.66%
> > 1999-3 -0.80% 2 2.43% 3 -0.44% 4 0.80% 1 0.07% 2 -0.68% 3
> 0.00% 0 1.38%
> > 2000-4 0.67% 3 0.82% 4 0.15% 1 -0.08% 2 1.75% 3 -0.11% 4
> 0.00% 0 3.18%
> > 2001-1 -7.12% 3 0.31% 4 7.56% 5 -0.93% 2 1.84% 3 0.72%
> -3.41% 5 -1.03%
> >
> > Averages -0.42% 0.53% 0.82% 0.32% 0.54% 0.46%
> 0.21% 2.38%
> > % Winners 54% 85% 77% 69% 69% 69%
> 88%
> >
> >
> > Russell 2000
> > Day7 Day6 Day5 Day4 Day3 Day2
> Day1 Totals
> > 1989-1 -0.20% 3 0.21% 4 0.26% 5 -0.14% 2 0.19% 3 0.52% 4
> 1.14% 5 1.98%
> > 1990-2 0.12% 3 0.56% 4 0.77% 5 0.13% 2 0.37% 3 0.15% 4
> 1.23% 5 3.33%
> > 1991-3 0.12% 4 0.09% 5 -0.30% 1 0.28% 3 -0.16% 4 -0.12% 5
> 1.33% 1 1.24%
> > 1992-4 -0.07% 5 1.04% 1 0.93% 2 1.56% 4 1.03% 5 1.96% 1
> 1.11% 2 7.56%
> > 1993-1 -0.09% 2 0.21% 3 0.46% 4 -0.17% 1 0.44% 2 -0.25% 3
> 0.00% 0 0.61%
> > 1994-2 -0.05% 3 0.38% 4 0.44% 1 0.52% 2 0.90% 3 0.07% 4
> 0.00% 0 2.25%
> > 1995-3 1.12% 3 0.12% 4 0.46% 5 0.49% 2 -0.27% 3 0.66% 4
> 1.41% 5 3.99%
> > 1996-4 0.92% 3 0.60% 4 0.53% 5 0.17% 2 0.40% 3 -0.03% 4
> 0.63% 5 3.22%
> > 1997-1 0.17% 5 -0.36% 1 0.13% 2 0.52% 4 0.41% 5 0.23% 1
> 0.73% 2 1.82%
> > 1998-2 0.68% 1 -0.20% 2 -0.23% 3 0.11% 5 1.23% 1 1.72% 2
> 0.00% 0 3.30%
> > 1999-3 -0.40% 2 1.14% 3 0.19% 4 0.67% 1 0.52% 2 0.37% 3
> 0.00% 0 2.49%
> > 2000-4 0.45% 3 0.94% 4 0.42% 1 0.83% 2 1.75% 3 -0.09% 4
> 0.00% 0 4.30%
> > 2001-1 -3.27% 3 0.73% 4 3.57% 5 0.79% 2 2.72% 3 3.07%
> -2.13% 5 5.48%
> >
> > Averages -0.04% 0.42% 0.59% 0.44% 0.73% 0.64%
> 0.68% 3.20%
> > % Winners 54% 85% 85% 85% 85% 69%
> 88%
> >
> > Good luck
> >
>
>
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