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On Friday (maybe before) it was announced, that I believe it was Ford is
bringing a very large bond offering out Tuesday as well as the Fed with its
largest 2-year offering ever, so this is pressuring the long bond for sure.
As you know it is best to let the charts tell you so I will wait to see what
unfolds. I do find it curious the bonds came within 4 ticks of the previous
high Friday, as this information on the offerings next week had to be known,
you would think?
----- Original Message -----
From: "Don Thompson" <detomps@xxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, October 19, 2001 9:29 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
Don and Lee,
Merrill-Lynch is furiously packaging bonds for the public.. broker bragging
of x Hundreds of Millions going into these packages. I always get
interested in a top when ML starts really marketing. The last time was the
intro of their B to B internet holders.. it had to have called the top by a
couple of weeks.
Don
Subject: RE: [RT] bonds top?
Don, interesting - first it is interesting to see you use the gator. I
just ffinished his book and like the system. Answer me this batman - what is
a yawn and there does not appear to be a way to do his momentem indicator
"AC" in AGET as it is a MA of the 5/35 do you just ignore this indictor or
have you found a way around this limitation. thks
-----Original Message-----
From: Don Ewers [mailto:dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
Sent: Thursday, October 18, 2001 8:08 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
Attached are the AGET charts (60min and daily).
The 60min chart which is measuring the "wave 4 from 9-20-01 on the
daily"
indicates we may make another new high to a MOB (108-16 to 108-24) at
least
(it can go higher) so in agreement with Clyde's chart.
The fact that the bond retracement has exceeded a .786 retracement on
the
daily is a clue that maybe the 60min is right? The MOB on the daily
is
somewhat lower (107-24 to 108-01 but it is not locked in yet so may
change
(locks if a new high is made)).
Ignor the gator (three bold colored lines) on the 60min although it has
made
some great calls lately.
don ewers
----- Original Message -----
From: "Dorothy K. Carter" <dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, October 18, 2001 1:05 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
I don't know how accurate the vol is on my source.. but it appears bonds
have been rallying on liter vol. than the down draft low going into
9/20. chart appears to be making right shoulder....... I'd still guess
we are in window coming up shortly where bonds,stocks and US$ resume
down together .. I'd still watch for 102.12 102.06 target to be met
----- Original Message -----
From: Clyde Lee <mailto:clydelee@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, October 18, 2001 1:42 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] bonds top?
We've retired SwingMachine for a while but SwingTimer show the
attached.
Clyde
----- Original Message -----
From: azeem <mailto:azeemb@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx <mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, October 18, 2001 11:11 AM
Subject: [RT] bonds top?
will bonds exceed prevoius high? or is this the top
what does the waves say?swingmachine say?
thanks
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