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Re: [RT] Bull to Bear



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Earl

----- Original Message -----
From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, October 11, 2001 8:54 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] Bull to Bear


> With 10/70 having lost control on hourly, it's my understanding that
> analysis moves to the daily using 5/17 and aggressive counts. Attached
chart
> through Wednesday close. Note that the heavy blue 50% retracement
trendline
> is important resistance.
>
> Earl
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Thursday, October 11, 2001 8:37 AM
> Subject: Re: [RT] Bull to Bear
>
>
> > Here is an updated 60min with the first hour bar relating to the post
> below
> > (other one was missing it).
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Thursday, October 11, 2001 9:25 AM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] Bull to Bear
> >
> >
> > > Ralph,
> > > Here is an updated 60min SP cash chart, still showing wave 4 but at
the
> > .618
> > > level now and importantly the 10/70 has lost control.
> > >
> > > One interesting note on the chart is, notice the red line from wave 2
to
> > the
> > > red wave 4 channels (barely visable just above the 4C since just
> starting,
> > > unlike the long green and blue ones), anyway that line is supposed to
> > > represent resistance which capped the move so far (as would have been
> > lines
> > > drawn from wave 2 to the last green or blue dot on those wave 4
> channels).
> > >
> > > The red PTI in the lower right is a low 23, so as I have posted before
> > when
> > > the weekly, daily and 60min all folded into each other, that the first
> > > indication of a pattern problem would occur here on the 60min chart.
> > > Netting it out, it still some "cracks" and the low PTI is saying at
best
> > any
> > > wave 5 will be a double bottom or a failed 5th which never makes a new
> low
> > > and could even just keep going up.
> > >
> > > Notable on the daily SP cash chart is the fact that the PTI there has
> > > dropped to 22 from the 42 on my chart from 9-30-01.  Actually it
dropped
> > > below 34 on 10-3-01 again indicating if a wave 5 occurs it will likely
> be
> > a
> > > double bottom or a failed 5th as described above.
> > >
> > > The softwares recommended strategy would be to buy a retracement (or
> test
> > of
> > > the low should it occur) after which some buy indicator trips, since
the
> > > 1-2-3 down is likely to relabel into a big A-B-C  (daily and 60min) as
> > > discussed in a previous post (what if they change the lock
discussion).
> > > don ewers
> > >
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Ralph Volpe" <rjv@xxxxxxxxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Wednesday, October 10, 2001 11:53 AM
> > > Subject: [RT] Bull to Bear
> > >
> > >
> > > > I haven't heard much lately from the Bears, and I hope some are
still
> > > > out there. It was my view nearly two weeks ago that a reversal was
> > > > imminent from the lows after the WTC, and that seems to have
occurred,
> > > > but to a dramatically lesser degree then I expected. This rally has
> > > > significant flaws that I think will weigh heavy on any further
> progress
> > > > in the markets from today's close forward. Now, if there are any
Bears
> > > > still out there, I'm ready to snuggle in with you. Is there room to
> > > > accept a recalcitrant Bull?
> > > >
> > > > --
> > > > Ralph           =>        E-mail   =>  rjv@xxxxxxxxxx
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
> > > > realtraders-unsubscribe@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
> > > >
> > > >
> > > >
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> > > >
> > > >
> > >
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> > >
> > >
> > >
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> > >
> > >
> >
> >
> > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
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> >
> >
> >
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> >
> >
>

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