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Re: [RT] Bonds



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Tnx IRA:  How do you get today's O.I. all ready??  Guess it's been awhile
since I did this exercise on all commodities.... it use to be that you had
to wait for  Monday's WSJ to get it.. now of course with internet.. I guess
they could get it out this fast...... Are the vol correct for each day or
are they a day behind???????? I see same vol for Sept 14 & 17th    Just
quickly looking at this
What I see is the sell off after 911 went down on big vol rallied back on
lite vol and if today's OI is correct it expanded and bonds closed below the
1/2 point on bonds which would tell me that Open interst was created by
shorts vs new longs.. anyway.. just a quick 2 min. observation... not sure
if the vol and oi is correct at least not on 14th or 17th???  Tnx again
IRA......
----- Original Message -----
From: "Ira Tunik" <irat@xxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 4:27 PM
Subject: Re: [RT] Bonds


> Here it is.  Ira
>
> "Dorothy K. Carter" wrote:
>
> > Does anyone on this list track volume on Dec bonds.. I use to track vol
and
> > open interest but just don't have time to do it anymore... if anyone on
the
> > list has vol and open int on Dec Bonds for the last two weeks I'd really
> > like to take a look at it... my guess is that it has been rallying on
lite
> > volume which would indicate that next week  the bonds will probably fail
at
> > double top.   They may not get above  106 4/32
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 3:49 PM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] Bonds
> >
> > > Well one thing for sure, the lower the bond yields, the more the price
> > > volatility, so a spike is certainly possible depending on how things
> > unfold?
> > > don ewers
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Dorothy K. Carter" <dorothy.carter@xxxxxxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 1:55 PM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] Bonds
> > >
> > >
> > > > Don:  They have rallied back further than I  anticipated they would.
> > Next
> > > > week will be interesting to see if this advance is through......
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "Don Ewers" <dbewers@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > To: "Real Traders" <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > Sent: Friday, September 28, 2001 2:48 PM
> > > > Subject: [RT] Bonds
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > Dorthy,
> > > > > You have repeatly mentioned that you thought DEc bonds will reach
98
> > > > (which
> > > > > I would tend to agree with direction wise, once the apparent
market
> > lows
> > > > are
> > > > > in).
> > > > > But before that happens, is it possible the bonds go higher,
first?
> > > > >
> > > > > Attached is what AGET is showing currently.
> > > > >
> > > > > The 60min, I went to "short term count" and the 5/17 oscillator
since
> > > the
> > > > > 5/35
> > > > > and 10/70 oscillators have both lost control (in the original
count
> > and
> > > > long
> > > > > term
> > > > > counts). It indicates bonds are possibly headed higher and they
are in
> > a
> > > > > wave 3 (a wave 4 correction will occur along the way at some
> > > > > point). The MOB above has not been reached (doesn't mean it has
to, it
> > > is
> > > > > just a target that if reached would provide some resistance). I
what
> > > if'ed
> > > > > in the first two hours today.
> > > > >
> > > > > The daily chart says 5 waves are in but the MOB was not reached
and if
> > > > there
> > > > > is a new count down (1? and 2?) the the wave 2 went way too high?
I
> > am
> > > > > thinking that the prior drop was minor wave 4 of wave 5?  So again
> > bonds
> > > > > could move
> > > > > higher. I what ifed in todays action so far (106-02 high).
> > > > >
> > > > > The weekly says we have yet to complete wave 5 also. The MOB there
is
> > > > > substantially higher (off of a different pivot, the old high in
1998).
> > > > Looks
> > > > > to me like we also
> > > > > are putting in a weekly inside bar.
> > > > >
> > > > > So just a thought, that we could move higher, before we go lower.
> > > > >
> > > > > I would be interested in any thoughts on a spike move up at least
to a
> > > new
> > > > > "current" high above 107-01 please. If a double top spike top on
the
> > > > > weekly's were to occur, well that would be a gift for all of us
(to
> > > sell),
> > > > > but highly unlikely, that was a LTC thing.
> > > > > don ewers
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
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