Re: [RT] s&p

["BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>]

That's the question.  Since stocks and options are intricately related it
seems to imply that less noise in the stocks might spill over into less
options activity and vice versa with the result that both historical and
implied volatilities go into a scaledown.  So far the VCycles chart doesn't
show any unusual changes in volatility levels.  Looks like business as
usual.  Currently the 5 day historical is greater than the 20 day and 90 day
which has been coincident with good Long trades.


bobr

----- Original Message -----
From: "Kent Rollins" <kentr@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Wednesday, August 29, 2001 9:12 AM
Subject: Re: [RT] s&p


> If it only eliminates accounts with less than $25K, how much effect could
it
> have?
>
> Kent
>
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Wednesday, August 29, 2001 10:43 AM
> Subject: Re: [RT] s&p
>
>
> Do you think the recent Pattern Day Trader rules will have an effect on
the
> VIX level?
>
> bobr
>
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> Sent: Wednesday, August 29, 2001 7:38 AM
> Subject: Re: [RT] s&p
>
>
> > I think this is more serious ... just two days ago VIX was at 22 level
> which
> > is the level from which declines start, not begin.
> >
> > Earl
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Wednesday, August 29, 2001 8:23 AM
> > Subject: Re: [RT] s&p
> >
> >
> > > Bounces occurring right on time at the right levels right in line with
> > > sentiment.
> > >
> > > bobr
> > >
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > Sent: Wednesday, August 29, 2001 7:12 AM
> > > Subject: Re: [RT] s&p
> > >
> > >
> > > > some bounce ... couldn't even retrace half way to 1172! next
symmetry
> > > level
> > > > is 1155.60 and if it doesn't bounce there look out below!
> > > >
> > > > Earl
> > > >
> > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > Sent: Wednesday, August 29, 2001 7:25 AM
> > > > Subject: Re: [RT] s&p
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > > Pivot low at 1162.20 was tagged so now in bounce mode ... question
> of
> > > the
> > > > > day is how high does it bounce. Key symmetry resistance level per
> > chart
> > > I
> > > > > posted is left pivot at 1173 ... rally above this level breaks
> > downside
> > > > > symmetry which has been a common occurrence in this chop so we
could
> > > > easily
> > > > > retrace 50-62% of Monday's decline for 15+ handles.
> > > > >
> > > > > Still, nothing has really changed unless you consider Gateway's
> > > > expectation
> > > > > of a profit by excluding taxes and a half-billion restructuring
> charge
> > > > > bullish. What is amazing to me is that for years we have seen
> company
> > > > after
> > > > > company (not just tech either .. IBM, T, etc.) announce multiple
> > > > > extraordinary charges which wipe out all of the previously
reported
> > > > > "profits" and investors consider this bullish.
> > > > >
> > > > > As for the GDP revision, it was revised down by 70%+ and there is
> > > another
> > > > > revision to come so it's no big deal that a recession has not yet
> been
> > > > > declared official.
> > > > >
> > > > > Earl
> > > > >
> > > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > > From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > > Sent: Tuesday, August 28, 2001 4:11 PM
> > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] s&p
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > > > If you read symmetry (39 minute chart I posted earlier), the
> roadmap
> > > > looks
> > > > > > pretty clear ... tag the left pivot low at 1162.20 and then
> bounce.
> > > The
> > > > > > interesting thing was how the market so studiously avoided
> dropping
> > > > those
> > > > > > last few ticks. The mystery now is in how the plot unfolds or,
if
> > the
> > > > > market
> > > > > > chooses to change symmetry by not tagging the finish line or
> > dropping
> > > > > > through it like a rock, then how that will unfold.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Earl
> > > > > >
> > > > > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > > > > From: "Michael Ferguson" <wl7bdn@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > > > To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
> > > > > > Sent: Tuesday, August 28, 2001 3:10 PM
> > > > > > Subject: Re: [RT] s&p
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > > > in hindsight his symmetrical levels
> > > > > > > played well. double distribution was the winning guess, but it
> was
> > > > > > decidedly
> > > > > > > UN-symmetrical. where is value zone tonight?
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
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