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I am not normally tuned in to analog type analysis, but this is very
interesting. see the attached Dow chart showing the top in 1929. Look at the
very large gap after the first 5 wave decline off the top. Looks like Thursday
huh? Wave c rally stopped at 61.8 retracement and 50 day moving average. The
current chart leads me to believ that 50% retrace./50 day MA and an andrews line
will stop it around 10700-10750. The first leg down in '29 was 23 days, whereas
this one was 34. The '29 rally was 5 days. Wouildn't 8 days take us to option
exp.? Another thing of note -- if you look at the dow adjusting for the dollar
effect -- as non US investors see it -- the rally went to new highs in a w5
which stopped conveniently on a fib prjection from the 74 low. Finally, most
world markets look to be correcting 5 wave declines just like the Dow and
S&P. Unless you can convince yourself that the whole world is experiencing
5th wave failures at the same time... Personally, I think I am getting a little
bearish here. ;-)
Have a nice weekend all,
Chris
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