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You are right, of course. (Only ASTRO guys truly 'know' the future.)
Still, some probabilities can be known. Limiting one's trading to 'high
probability' trades can be rewarding enough to buy a cup or two of premium
coffee. (See SBUX post following)
The 'probability' of this advance extending to new highs basis the DOW, Jan
2000, without at least a pause that refreshes, is 'very low.' The
'probability' of an annual cycle low in the Sep - Oct time frame is 'very
high.'
Yes, AG MIGHT reduce interest rates to zero Sunday, the Dow MIGHT gap up
1000 points on Monday's opening and run to 20,000 without pausing to catch
its breath (you saw it here first!). But it ain't probable.
Stan
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