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With respect to the diamond formation, I initially accepted
the 1994 support trend line as the lower right facet. But it isn't very
symmetrical and so I have chosen the lows surrounding but not including October
18.02000 as the second anchor point (the first being the lows of March 8,
2000). If I am wrong, then the diamond has failed to predict
movement. If I am right it is yet to occur.
Regards,
Tony
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="PADDING-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Tony
Pylypuk
To: <A title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx">RealTraders
Sent: February 18, 2001 12:34 PM
Subject: [RT] INDU
A chart and a comment.
INDU remains within the right half of the big diamond and within the
bounds of the 3 ½ month wedge. It is under increasing pressure from the
converging trend lines of the wedge, shortly to be compounded by pressure from
the resistance trend line from January 17, 2000 (the top of the diamond).
On February 16, 2001, INDU rebounded off the bottom of the wedge and an
intermediate fibonacci retracement (23.65%) of the 1998 – 2000 expansion
phase. The 21 day and 200 day moving averages are essentially (i) flat
(especially the latter), (ii) equal in value and (iii) within striking
distance of one day’s normal fluctuation.
All of which reminds me of a spring compressed to its limits.
Have a nice day. (
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