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Thursday had the feel of a late summer blow off in the Naz
with a topped out XMI and NYA. OEX $C/$P ended near 1.52 after peaking
intraday over 2.0. CBOE $C/$P ended the day at 2.59. Both numbers
were/are overly bullish and a waving flag for some caution short term, i.e.
these number are volatile and can change dramatically within one day just like
TRIN and VIX can.
bobr
http://www.oextrader.com/sigma_trader
<BLOCKQUOTE
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----- Original Message -----
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
<A href="mailto:onwingsofeagles@xxxxxxxxxxxxx"
title=onwingsofeagles@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>Gitanshu Buch
To: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx"
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Thursday, January 11, 2001 12:20
PM
Subject: [RT] MKT: OEX CVR signals
Given today's and more recent action in the VIX, a lot of
the - quote unquote - cottage industry Vix based reversal signals - are about
to trip into "Short Market" zone.
I would guess another 8% down in the VIX would start the
tubthumpers.
Just a word of caution to those incorporating these into
their trading landscape thesis:
At critical inflection points of change in trend -
specifically from bearish to bullish on the OEX and related indices - the
signals, like most oscillators on the first pass after the inflection point is
reached - are WRONG.
GitanshuTo
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