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Bob, I would have to say that on this one we have
to cross over to the futures market and the 30 year treasury bond would be a
good tradable instrument least influenced by arb .,exercising., and other fancy
hedges If the oex had european style expiration( as they have on the S&P
500 spot) it would fit the bill On the other hand even though the
S&P 500 has the european style exercise it would not be good because of the
S&P futures If a newbie understands the high leverage in futures and keeps
things under control US BONDS would be my choice.This is my own conclusion.There
was very little to be found on the subject.
<FONT face=Arial
size=2>Dom
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<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
BobR
To: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx"
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Sunday, October 15, 2000 10:57
AM
Subject: Re: [RT] Re: chart formations
Of the tradeable instruments, which do you
believe are the least affected by arbitrage, exercising etc. that a newbie
could trade with lower risk?
BobR
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<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black">From:
Dom
Perrino
To: <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx"
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxx
Sent: Sunday, October 15, 2000 6:58
AM
Subject: [RT] Re: chart formations
We now are at a critical point in the
market.Since I was out most of the week, I spent some time reading the
postings. One post reminded me of an old saying I used to use when
someone was learning technical analysis and that is "to participate rather
than anticipate" . We have to do our homework and figure where we think
the market is going.But then we have to be flexible and let the market do
the talking.The reason I mention this at this time is that regardless of
whether we are in a bear market or bull market , there are very strong moves
against the primary trend which are worthwhile trading opportunities.One
appears to be at hand now.
A review of the charts indicates to me a triple
bottom formation in the following indices : NDX 100, COMPX (NASDAQ), SPX
500, . The OEX broke through but not significantly and in addition the OEX
is more likely to be affected by options ,arbitrage, exercising etc. The DOW
JONES also held above the intra day low of 9731 made on 3/8/00. I don 't
have the volume figures for thursday and friday but if someone would post
them it would be revealing as to whether the intra day reversal on friday
was accompanied by increased volume.Up volume and down volume as well as
total volume s/b kept separately for the nasdaq and nyse.If up volume as a
percentage of total volume does not increase in proportion to the
increase in prices it would give warning that the rally is
terminating
.Until we make new highs confirmed by
other indicators my primary model is still in a bear mode I am long QQQ at
77 1/2 and 81 I send this out very late last night Did not see it on this
morning.Am resending .My apologies if duplicate appears ..
DomTo unsubscribe from
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