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[RT] Re: Market - OEX

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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>AAPL is falling into its decades old pattern of 
diving at the end of the third quarter under fears of decreased earnings and 
death due to windows.&nbsp; Its been my best trade ever, repeatedly to buy aapl 
leaps at the end of September and sell them during Comdex in November and at 
MacWorld in San Fran in January.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>br</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A href="mailto:jptaylor@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; title=jptaylor@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>James 
  Taylor</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Cc:</B> <A 
  href="mailto:Realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>Realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, September 29, 2000 8:49 
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: Market - OEX</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>How does the AAPL split-the-hard-way factor into 
  this analysis of the market going higher ??</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Disclosure: short AAPL (thankfully)</FONT></DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
    <A href="mailto:detomps@xxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
    title=detomps@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>DonThompson</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, September 29, 2000 8:29 
    AM</DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: Market - OEX</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Bob,</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>According to my&nbsp; Stat work, given we have 
    a down open there is only:</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>40% chance of getting a higher close.&nbsp; 
    T</FONT><FONT face=Arial size=2>he up closers in this&nbsp; set don't make a 
    lower low but 60% chance have a higher high.&nbsp; The down closers have 40% 
    chance of a Lower Low and a 60% chance of a higher close.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>So, there is a fair chance of making a higher high.&nbsp; Although the 
    futures are being sold fairly heavily.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Don</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV></FONT>&nbsp;<SPAN id=__#Ath#SignaturePos__></SPAN>&nbsp;</DIV></DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
      <DIV 
      style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
      <A href="mailto:bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
      title=bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>BobR</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
      href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
      title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Friday, September 29, 2000 
      10:52 AM</DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Market - OEX</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Just testing the upper side of the regression 
      channel at 766, a normal technical occurance.&nbsp; 780 would be my target 
      as a minimum by the close this afternoon.</FONT></DIV>
      <DIV><FONT face=Arial 
size=2>BobR</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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