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<DIV><FONT color=#0000ff face=Arial size=2><SPAN class=800465212-27092000>I
would not use ADX in that way at all. Note that DI- has been above ADX almost
every day since February in the Comp. The trend there has been flat to down for
the whole period. All you can say about DI- moving above ADX is that there is
risk that the current trend is extended a bit and that we need to go sideways.
However, remember that ADX is very smoothed. Most of the increase in ADX
occurred due to the rally in August/September. If anything, right now, the
indicator is telling us that we can go sideways, but a turn down in ADX now
would mean that the BULLISH cycle is weakening, not the bearish.
Furthermore, weekly ADX is near 10, saying the big picture still shows no trend.
I'd stand up and take notice when that starts moving higher. I fear that it
could be to the down side.</SPAN></FONT></DIV>
<P><FONT size=2>---<BR>Steven W. Poser, President<BR>Poser Global Market
Strategies Inc.<BR><A href="http://www.poserglobal.com/"
target=_blank>http://www.poserglobal.com</A><BR>swp@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<BR>Tel:
201-995-0845<BR>Fax: 201-995-0846</FONT> </P>
<BLOCKQUOTE style="MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV align=left class=OutlookMessageHeader dir=ltr><FONT face=Tahoma
size=2>-----Original Message-----<BR><B>From:</B> listmanager@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:listmanager@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]<B>On Behalf Of </B>Dom
Perrino<BR><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, September 27, 2000 8:41 AM<BR><B>To:</B>
<realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx><BR><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: MKT -
INDU<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>The adx is confirming your observation. It is
just about to go above the -d line.This is an indication that the trend that
was underway is about to terminate.I bought QQQ yesterday near closing
price.With this market I will not get greedy.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Dom </FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B>
<A href="mailto:bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx"
title=bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>BobR</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, September 27, 2000
8:05 AM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] MKT - INDU</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>So far the INDU is exhibiting classical
Bollenger Band action. INDU closed below the lower band, made a trip
back inside, retested the lower band from the inside. A trip to the
center band at 11,000 is the next move. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Don't stay bearish too long GB,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial
size=2>BobR</FONT></DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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