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[RT] Re: Gen: Market Outlook



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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>OEXastro says 785 at the 
Jupiter/Neptune aspect in the third harmonic would be the ideal time and price 
pivot.&nbsp; Anyone got the ephemeris handy.&nbsp; Looks like 
Tuesday/Wednesday.&nbsp; Ok, no more charts tonight, am going to bed with some 
data.&nbsp; Life is but a dream.&nbsp; </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>BobR</FONT></DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>-----Original Message-----</B><BR><B>From: 
    </B>BobR &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>To: 
    </B><A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> 
    &lt;<A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>Date: 
    </B>Monday, July 24, 2000 7:53 PM<BR><B>Subject: </B>[RT] Re: Gen: Market 
    Outlook<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2>What Ira says has some merit, 
    information has to be turned into knowledge from which action can 
    spring.&nbsp; Considering that the market is a probability action, for 
    Tuesday Ron's stats give me encouragement to look for a long OEX entry in 
    the zone of 789 to 790.5.&nbsp; By &quot;looking for&quot; I mean the 
    advances and declines, up volume and down volume confirm a pivot in the 
    making and it means taking one or more bullish postures....outright at the 
    money call,&nbsp; bull call debit spread...buyone sellone, or a put credit 
    spread or combinations thereof.&nbsp; It would also help if the cboe call 
    and put trins were showing positive divergence as the zone is entered.&nbsp; 
    Should price not have accompanying support in the zone then 785 would be the 
    next entry target.&nbsp; Tuesday's have a probability of starting out weak 
    and ending strong and also starting out strong and ending weak, i.e. 
    &quot;turnaroundtuesdaysyndrome&quot;.&nbsp; Many talk about end of month 
    seasonality.&nbsp; Personally I have been burned too often trying to be long 
    puts in the last week of the month regardless of technicals because of the 
    sudden reversals within the last 3 to 4 trading days.&nbsp; Timewise the 
    best time for the reversal would be Tuesday afternoon as it would fit into 
    the neural pattern.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT color=#000000 face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>good luck trading,</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>BobR</FONT></DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
        <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><B>-----Original 
        Message-----</B><BR><B>From: </B>Ira Tunik &lt;<A 
        href="mailto:ist@xxxxxx";>ist@xxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>To: </B><A 
        href="mailto:bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> &lt;<A 
        href="mailto:bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx";>bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;<BR><B>Date: 
        </B>Monday, July 24, 2000 6:34 PM<BR><B>Subject: </B>Re: [RT] Re: Gen: 
        Market Outlook<BR><BR></DIV></FONT>Right now the Dow is down 9.87% from 
        its high. The Nasdaq is down 20.23% and the S&amp;P is holding up the 
        best, down only 4.68%.&nbsp; The interesting thing is that with these 
        conditions only 34.6% of stocks are above their 10 day moving average 
        and 57.3% are above their 50 day moving average.&nbsp; All three indexes 
        are below their 10 day moving averages.&nbsp;&nbsp; These are also very 
        interesting facts, but not one of them will make you dime in the 
        market.&nbsp;&nbsp; Ira 
        <P>BobR wrote: 
        <BLOCKQUOTE TYPE = CITE>&nbsp;<FONT face=Arial><FONT 
            color=#000000><FONT size=-1>And, the PCratio series has two out of 
            three trending into bullish territory.&nbsp; They still need to 
            finish their trend and reverse, could be any 
            day.</FONT></FONT></FONT>&nbsp;<FONT face=Arial><FONT 
            size=-1>BobR</FONT></FONT> 
            <BLOCKQUOTE 
            style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px"><B><FONT 
                face=Arial><FONT size=-1>-----Original 
                Message-----</FONT></FONT></B> <BR><FONT face=Arial><FONT 
                size=-1><B>From: </B>Ronald McEwan &lt;<A 
                href="mailto:rmac@xxxxxxxx";>rmac@xxxxxxxx</A>&gt;</FONT></FONT> 
                <BR><FONT face=Arial><FONT size=-1><B>To: </B><A 
                href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> 
                &lt;<A 
                href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A>&gt;</FONT></FONT> 
                <BR><FONT face=Arial><FONT size=-1><B>Date: </B>Monday, July 24, 
                2000 5:02 PM</FONT></FONT> <BR><FONT face=Arial><FONT 
                size=-1><B>Subject: </B>[RT] Gen: Market Outlook</FONT></FONT> 
                <BR>&nbsp;Attached is a gif of the &quot;NorPrOV&quot; (Normal 
                Probability Plot of Oex /Vix&nbsp; Price Change Residuals). As 
                indicated by the large yellow dot in the lower left quadrant, 
                this indicator has just entered the &quot;Buy Zone&quot;. This 
                indicator has only registered 5 other readings lower then todays 
                in the last 50 days. All of which were good indications of short 
                term reversals of the OEX to the Up side.&nbsp;disclaimer 
                stuff:this indicator is proprietary (so don't ask)this is not a 
                trading recommendationthis is for informational purposes onlyit 
                only represents one of an infinite number of market 
            outlooks.&nbsp;</BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>

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