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[RT] On The Money Hotline 6/14/00 BUY!



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<font size=3>Realtraders,<br>
<br>
&nbsp; Below is an email of which I have a subscription too.&nbsp; To
date, this newsletter recommendations has performed very well, going to
100% cash near the highs of the market several months ago.&nbsp; FWIW,
today, they just changed their stance to a BUY.<br>
<br>
John Boggio<br>
PS I have no affiliation with this newsletter writer...just a
subscriber.<br>
<br>
<br>
E-mail Hotline <br>
<br>
This is Dennis Slothower with the On the Money Newsletter Hotline Update
for <br>
Wednesday, June 14, 2000. <br>
<br>
SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS:<br>
<br>
We have a number of buy recommendations:<br>
<br>
Conservative:<br>
<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 50%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
Columbia&nbsp; High Yield&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
CMHYX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 50%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
Invesco High Yield&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; FHYPX<br>
<br>
Core:<br>
<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Invesco
Growth &amp; Income&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; IVGIX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Fidelity
Dividend Growth&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; FDGFX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Artisan
Small Cap Value&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; ARTVX<br>
<br>
Moderate:<br>
<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Invesco
Blue-Chip&nbsp; Growth&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
FLRFX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Wasatch
Mid-Cap Growth&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; WAMCX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Fidelity
Retirement Growth&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; FDFFX<br>
<br>
Aggressive:<br>
<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Van
Wagoner Post Venture&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 
VWPVX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
PBHG Core Growth&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; PBCRX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Janus
Enterprise&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; JAENX<br>
<br>
Fidelity Diversified Sectors:<br>
<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Fidelity Select
Biotechnology&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; FBIOX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Fidelity Select
Electronics&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; FSELX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Fidelity Select
Developing Communications&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
FSDCX<br>
<br>
No-load Sectors:<br>
<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; PBHG Tech and
Communications&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; PBTCX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Rydex
Biotechnology&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; RYOIX<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
33.3%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Van Wagoner
Technology&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; VWTKX<br>
<br>
Enhanced Index:<br>
<br>
Buy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
100%&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Rydex
OTC&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; RYOCX<br>
<br>
MARKET COMMENTARY:<br>
<br>
The broad market posted modest gains today while the Nasdaq registered
losses as <br>
investors digested the implications of a slowing economy following a tame
consumer <br>
price index. The CPI showed little inflation in May. After these numbers,
most experts <br>
feel there is less than a 50% chance the Fed will raise rates at the end
of this month.<br>
<br>
Short cycles continue to correct but we are not seeing much deterioration
in the market <br>
behavior as positive intermediate cycles dominate. In fact, the funds we
are <br>
recommending are now starting to break out to the upside, maintaining
their uptrends that <br>
began at the first of the month. Once short cycles bottom in a few days
these funds should <br>
continue to climb. Furthermore, it appears that we are going to have a
much higher low <br>
than what we saw at the end of May.<br>
<br>
I am impressed with the technical condition of the market. Breadth has
been very good. <br>
The McClellan Summation Index for both the OTC and NYSE has been positive
and <br>
climbing despite the sideways correction. RSI levels remain above 50%.
The OTC is once <br>
again stronger than the S&amp;P 500. The tech funds are once again at the
top of the fund <br>
rankings. The new lows indicator is in a buy mode as well as the money
market rankings.<br>
<br>
Fundamentally, the evidence of the economic reports confirms the economy
is now <br>
moderating. We are likely to get further evidence, which at this point is
supportive of the <br>
market. I am also encouraged by the bond market behavior, which is also
providing an <br>
underlying support for the market.<br>
<br>
I am encouraged that the market has had a difficult time correcting the
past few days. We <br>
may continue to trade sideways for another day or two but when short
cycles bottom at the <br>
end of the week, the market should be ready for another surge.<br>
<br>
Therefore, we want investors to now take positions as risk levels are now
down to <br>
acceptable levels.<br>
<br>
STOCKS:<br>
<br>
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 66.2 to close at 10,688.0. <br>
The S&amp;P 500 rose 1.1 to close at 1,470.5.<br>
The OTC fell 53.6 to close at 3,797.4. <br>
The Nasdaq 100 fell 88.3 to close at 3,677.4. <br>
Russell 2000 fell 4.0 to close at 509.6.<br>
<br>
Advancers beat Decliners 1,674 to 1,255 (NYSE)<br>
Decliners beat Advancers 2,243 to 1,787 (NASDAQ)<br>
<br>
BONDS:<br>
<br>
Bonds rose 18/32 to close at 97 12/32.<br>
<br>
GOLD:<br>
<br>
Gold rose 6.1 to close at 291.6<br>
<br>
CURRENT TECHNICAL INDICATORS<br>
For a more expanded view of technical indicators, go to: <br>
www.onthemoney.com/NEWSLETR/data.htm<br>
<br>
<br>
1. STOCHASTIC INDICATORS for an explanation of stochastics, visit the On
The <br>
Money web site: <br>
www.onthemoney.com<br>
<br>
<br>
SHORT CYCLES=10 to 14 DAYS<br>
<br>
STOCKS
<x-tab>&nbsp;</x-tab><x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab><x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>LONG
BOND<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab><x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab><x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>GOLD<br>
<br>
DJI&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
%K 36&nbsp; % D 53 Negative&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; %K 29&nbsp; %D 56
Neg.&nbsp;&nbsp; %K 61 %D 71 Neg.<br>
NYSE&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; %K
39&nbsp;&nbsp; %D 52 Negative<br>
S&amp;P&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
%K 46&nbsp; %D 61 Negative<br>
OTC&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
%K 55&nbsp; % D 72 Negative<br>
NASD100&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; %K 47&nbsp; %D 66 Negative<br>
Russell 2000&nbsp; %K 56 %D 73 Negative<br>
<br>
INTERMEDIATE CYCLES=3 to 5 MONTHS<br>
<br>
DJI&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
%K 49&nbsp; %D 48 Positive&nbsp;&nbsp; %K 45&nbsp; %D 33
Pos.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; %K 87 %D 63 Pos.<br>
NYSE&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; %K
54&nbsp; %D 48 Positive<br>
S&amp;P&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
%K 49&nbsp; %D 35 Positive<br>
OTC&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
%K 51&nbsp; %D 29 Positive<br>
NASD 100&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; %K 49&nbsp; %D 28 Positive<br>
Russell 2000&nbsp; %K 62 %D 40 Positive<br>
<br>
LONG-TERM CYCLES=40 MONTHS<br>
<br>
DJI&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
%K 16&nbsp; %D 31&nbsp; Negative&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; %K 51&nbsp; %D 36
Pos.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; %K 59 %D 56 Pos.<br>
NYSE&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
%K&nbsp; 40 %D 40&nbsp; Neutral<br>
S&amp;P 500&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; %K 33&nbsp; %D
47&nbsp; Negative<br>
OTC&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
%K 43&nbsp; %D 69&nbsp; Negative<br>
NASD 100&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; %K 46&nbsp; %D 70&nbsp; Negative<br>
Russell 2000&nbsp; %K 63&nbsp; %D 76&nbsp; Negative<br>
<br>
FIDELITY SELECT FAMILY STOCHASTIC OSCILLATOR<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <x-tab>&nbsp;</x-tab>6/13<br>
%K=<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>39<br>
%D=<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>42<br>
<br>
2. MOMENTUM INDICATORS<br>
<br>
&nbsp;14-Day RSI Levels<br>
<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>6/14<br>
DJI-30:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
51<br>
S&amp;P 500:
<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>56<br>
NASD 
100:<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>53<br>
OTC:<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab><x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>54<br>
Russell 2000:<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>54<br>
<br>
MACD Daily (Moving Average of Convergence and Divergence)<br>
<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>6/14<br>
&nbsp;DJIA:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>-3<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>+22<br>
<br>
&nbsp;S&amp;P
500:<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>+300<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>+326<br>
&nbsp;<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab><br>
&nbsp;OTC:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
+194<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>+293<br>
&nbsp;<br>
Russell 2000:<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>+141<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>+255<br>
<br>
(Weekly)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 6/05<br>
DJIA:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
+31<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
-44<br>
<br>
S&amp;P 500:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +378<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
+57<br>
<br>
OTC:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
-102<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
-474<br>
<br>
Russell 2000:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +62<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
-206<br>
<br>
(Monthly)&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 06/00<br>
DJIA:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
-5<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
+240<br>
<br>
S&amp;P 500:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +1124<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
+1320<br>
<br>
OTC:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
+404<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
+1036<br>
<br>
Russell 2000:&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; +368<br>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
+666<br>
<br>
3. BREADTH INDICATORS<br>
<br>
&nbsp;NEW LOWS INDICATOR<br>
<br>
<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab><x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>6/13<br>
NYSE<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab><x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>45<br>
OTC<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab><x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>55<br>
<br>
When new lows for the NYSE are trending below 50 and below 70 for the
OTC, breadth <br>
is strong enough to support a positive uptrend. A sell signal is produced
when the new <br>
low's indicator jumps above 50 for two straight days and above 70 for the
OTC.<br>
<br>
Courtesy of Investors FastTrack: P.O Box 77577, Baton Rouge, LA
70879<br>
<br>
&nbsp;MCCELLAN OSCILLATOR AND SUMMATION INDEX INDICATOR-<br>
<br>
<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;
<x-tab>&nbsp;</x-tab>6/13<br>
&nbsp;NYSE: OSC&nbsp; +87<br>
&nbsp;INDEX:<x-tab>&nbsp;</x-tab>+962<br>
&nbsp;<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab><br>
OTC:&nbsp;&nbsp;
OSC:<x-tab>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</x-tab>+148<br>
INDEX: <x-tab>&nbsp;</x-tab>-2385<br>
<br>
<br>
Courtesy of Fast Tools: P.O. Box F, Santa Clara, CA. 95055-F<br>
<br>
4. RANKING<br>
<br>
*** Fidelity Select Money Market ranks 30 of 39 sectors, which means 76
percent of the <br>
sectors are beating the money market over a six-week period.<br>
<br>
When 2/3rds of all sector funds are outperforming the select money
market, the market <br>
trend is healthy. When the select money market fund is outperforming
2/3rds of all sector <br>
funds, the market trend is considered negative and highly risky. This
ranking is over a six-<br>
week period.<br>
<br>
Courtesy of FastRUBE: P.O. Box 1424, Goodlettsville, TN 37070-1424<br>
<br>
Copyright 1999, by Capital Management Publishing Company, Inc., 2230 N.
<br>
University Parkway, Suite 9-D, Provo, UT 84604-1582. E-mail address:
<br>
support@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx It is a violation of United States copyright law
to forward, <br>
copy or reproduce this publication in any manner without permission.
Anyone caught <br>
doing so risks forfeiting his subscription. <br>
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From: "James Taylor" <jptaylor@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] Gov't Fabricates Yet Another Economic Report to Preserve Excessive US Asset Prices
Date: Wed, 14 Jun 2000 18:54:07 -0700
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>June 14, 2000<BR><FONT size=4><B>The Smoke and 
Mirrors Award for May: We have a winner!</B></FONT> 
<P>
<TABLE align=right border=0 cellPadding=1 cellSpacing=1>
  <TBODY>
  <TR>
    <TD bgColor=#f0f0df height=20><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" 
      size=-1>&nbsp;<B>Index</B></FONT></TD>
    <TD bgColor=#f0f0df><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" 
      size=-1><B>Close</B></FONT></TD>
    <TD bgColor=#f0f0df><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" 
      size=-1><B>Change</B></FONT></TD>
  <TR>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>Dow</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>10,687.95</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>+66.11</FONT></TD>
  <TR bgColor=#eeeeee>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>S &amp; P 500</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>1,470.54</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>+1.10</FONT></TD>
  <TR>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>Nasdaq Composite</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>3,797.41</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>-53.65</FONT></TD>
  <TR bgColor=#eeeeee>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>Nasdaq 100</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>3,677.49</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>-88.32</FONT></TD>
  <TR>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>Russell 2000</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>509.67</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>-4.08</FONT></TD>
  <TR bgColor=#eeeeee>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>Morgan Stanley Index</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>532.05</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>+5.38</FONT></TD>
  <TR>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>Sox Index</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>1,120.13</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>-50.40</FONT></TD>
  <TR bgColor=#eeeeee>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>Bank Index</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>839.82</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>+10.48</FONT></TD>
  <TR>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>XAU Gold &amp; Silver 
      Index</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>61.53</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>+1.46</FONT></TD>
  <TR bgColor=#eeeeee>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>Dow Transports</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>2,748.29</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>-6.58</FONT></TD>
  <TR>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>Dow Utilities</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>324.03</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>-5.74</FONT></TD>
  <TR bgColor=#eeeeee>
    <TD><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>30-year Treasury Bond</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" size=-1>5.90%</FONT></TD>
    <TD align=right><FONT face="Arial, Helvetica" 
      size=-1>+<SUP>15</SUP>/<SUB>32</SUB></FONT></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><!-- START ARTICLE HERE, END ABOVE THE FOOTER SECTION -->
<P><B>Name your price. . .</B> Guess what folks? The prices you see at the pump 
are all wrong. Gas prices actually went down last month, or so says the 
government. After I saw the report, I stopped to get some gas, but at my station 
they wouldn't let me pay the price I paid at the beginning of May. I guess they 
don't believe in the government numbers. My good friend Colin pointed out this 
morning that a major client of his went through every single component of the 
CPI and PPI and could only conclude that the Labor Department is making these 
numbers up. I don't know how anybody could disagree with that statement. Colin 
went on to say: 
<P>"Once upon a time, much higher oil prices showed up in the prices of darn 
near everything else. Nowadays, as graphically illustrated by the recent PPI and 
CPI data, oil price increases don't even show up in oil price measurements as 
increases, but rather as dramatic decreases! We are living with the most 
manipulated markets in history. As always, it will end badly. The 'Committee to 
Save the World' failed." 
<P>The benign CPI number, powered to the downside by a drop in gasoline prices, 
was enough to drive the bubbleonians to celebratory drinking instantaneously. 
The first hour and a half saw a pretty decent rally, then things started to get 
a little bit soggy. There was a lot of action to the upside in most of the 
indices, but some of the heretofore lead sled dogs like Micron, Intel, Oracle 
and IBM were weaker. 
<P>Hewlett-Packard continued its weakness, which also spread to Apple and 
Gateway. The PC sector was the one weak spot on the tape in the early going, 
with the exception of Dell, which was up a buck. It was rumored that there was a 
large seller around, so naturally the stock had to go up. Other than that, it 
was just business as usual: Buy tech, XPC-oriented names, financials and the 
indices. The action is clearly being influenced to some degree by the expiration 
on Friday, creating an extra layer of noise that we had to sift through. 
<P><B>Do they really need the "L"?. . .</B> About midway through the day, a lot 
of chatter started to appear on the tape about how absurd today's numbers were. 
There was a headline that passed on Bloomberg News entitled "The BLS Must Have 
Conducted the CPI Survey in La La Land," by a well-respected journalist, 
Caroline Baum. In it she questions the veracity of the BLS numbers -- not just 
gasoline, but also natural gas prices, which (according to the BLS) were up 7/10 
of a percent, even though natural gas futures were up 40 percent. 
<P>As more and more people turned a critical eye on the BLS numbers, the Fed 
Beige Book hit the tape and caused an even bigger stir. The Fed says it sees 
some signs of slowing as solid U.S. growth continues, and that wage inflation 
isn't carrying over into price increases. Of course, that's the wrong way to say 
that, since it's usually the other way around -- the price increases lead to the 
wage inflation. In any case, that produced a bit of a midday rally that went 
nowhere. From there, we basically slid and closed on the lows, with the Nasdaq 
down about a percent and the Nasdaq 100 down more. Even though the Dow and the 
S&amp;P were positive, they closed on their lowest levels of the day. 
<P>While I'm on the subject, I've been discussing for well over a year the 
phoniness of these numbers -- the "quality improvements," hedonic price 
adjustments, and so on. These numbers have been massaged for quite some time. 
Now that we have very apparent large price moves that disappear, it is obvious 
to all that the numbers are no good. This is a sure way for the government to 
lose credibility and will pose a real problem at some point. It's a recipe for 
trouble for the dollar and the financial markets if folks begin to question the 
data (as they should). 
<P>Today was a perfect example, as all the questioning appeared to have a 
somewhat disturbing effect on the stock market, even though the bond market 
largely ignored the questionable data and apparently responded to the weakness 
in the Nasdaq. 
<P>Internet stocks were under pressure nearly all day long. One possible 
explanation is that the big funds are trying to get out of them before the end 
of the quarter. Now that these darlings have become dogs, nobody wants to have 
them in their portfolio at quarter's end. 
<P>The fixed-income market managed to ignore the rally in oil and CPI data, 
closing up about half a buck; trading was described as thin. The dollar was a 
touch softer and precious metals markets were strong. After a terrible 
performance yesterday, the yellow dog came back barking and closed on the high 
of the day, up $6. Interesting action on a day government data was called into 
question. 
<P><B>Time to invest in warehouse construction. . .</B> The big leader to the 
downside was the Sox. There appears to be a little more concern about the 
overbuilding of cell phones -- a subject I've been speaking about lately. When 
folks finally realize the extent to which this has occurred, there is going to 
be a real meltdown in chipland. As I mentioned last week, this should finally 
pull the legs out from under the preposterous second-half recovery story for PCs 
and PC components. 
<P>It's a virtual certainty that the tech tape is on borrowed time, the only 
questions are what will be the catalyst and when will it go. When it goes, it 
will be particularly violent. Of particular concern was Qualcomm, which was down 
about $11. Rumors were floating around that it may have a big inventory problem. 
I detailed Solectron's inventory issue yesterday. We could make the case with 
many other companies. Ladies and gentlemen, it makes no sense that a company can 
have monstrous inventory while chirping about shortages. 
<P><B>Button up your overcoat. . .</B> Turning to a subject I haven't discussed 
recently, I started talking about nuclear winter last fall as the fact that 
corporate America had purchased all the hardware it needed in anticipation of 
Y2K. Therefore, it followed that the first three quarters or so of 2000 would be 
soggy. The Wall Street cheerleaders have denied this every month, even though 
the data continues to come in poor. And they keep rooting for a second-half 
recovery that no doubt will not be there. 
<P>Corroborating that assessment, shares in Computacenter, a British PC and 
desktop services company, dropped 35 percent because of the weak European IT 
market, proving that this corporate problem is worldwide. After all, it should 
be, since all corporations faced similar issues in dealing with Y2K. There are a 
lot of people out there who are in denial about the existence of nuclear winter. 
It's not factually debatable whether it's occurred. The only question is when 
will the reality of the PC business catch up with the silliness of the stock 
prices. 
<P><B>Was that so hard?. . .</B> Although unrelated to stocks, the world did get 
some news that could only be described as "good" for just about everybody. North 
Korea and South Korea signed a pact that appears to be a reconciliation 
agreement. I don't know the particulars, but we can only hope that this signals 
North Korea's desire to cease being such a rogue entity. 
<P><B>Going overboard. . .</B> We had yet another tech name added to the S&amp;P 
500. It looks like the S&amp;P 500 induction committee is hell-bent on making 
this a "tech only" index. I don't remember a time in the last few years when a 
company was added that wasn't a tech name. I'm assuming there must have been, 
but I can't for the life of me remember one. If any readers know when the last 
time a non-tech company was added to the S&amp;P 500, please let me know. 
<P>The Chicago Mercantile Exchange today said that the open interest on the 
Nasdaq 100 mini-contract rose to a ninth consecutive record. This means the boat 
is getting more and more lopsided, with small speculators long the Nasdaq 100. 
Obviously, this doesn't mean that it will end instantaneously, but it is a sign 
of emotion and enthusiasm. When the market does decide to flip over, it could do 
so rather violently. 
<!-- ARTICLE ENDS ABOVE -- DON'T CUT THIS PART OUT --><BR><BR><BR></P></FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Thu Jun 15 09:26:13 2000
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From: "T-Bondtrader" <t-bondtrader@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] Tick data USU0 for yesterday
Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 09:53:58 +0100
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Could someone be kind enough to send me an .omz 
file of data for yesterday's bonds.&nbsp; I had a computer blip 
and....&nbsp;&nbsp; when I got the data from Omega's site, it was perfectly 
frightful.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Thanks in advance for the help -&nbsp; and by the 
way, I hope you guys really made some loot yesterday.&nbsp; What a lovely run 
up.&nbsp; It stopped and came off on my first target and that was worth more 
than just a tick or three.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Bill Eykyn<BR><A 
href="http://www.t-bondtrader.com";>www.t-bondtrader.com</A><BR>"Learn to read 
the tape"</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Thu Jun 15 09:26:18 2000
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From: "Gram" <gramario@xxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] STOP LIMIT
Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 13:41:06 +0200
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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4>Hi,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4>just wondering if you fellow RT's can clear up 
something.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4>If I call my broker beofre the market opens 
today (15th June, 2000) and give the following order:<BR><BR>SELL x lots US T 
Bonds, US0900, @ 96.29 STOP LIMIT,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4>how should he behave after:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4>1/. the market opening above this 
price?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4>2/. the market opening below this 
price?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4>3/. the market opening at this 
price?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4>Good trading.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4>Gram.</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Thu Jun 15 09:26:21 2000
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From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <00c401bfd48b$1962a0e0$2f55fd3e@xxxx> <002601bfd492$7bf794c0$8348fea9@xxxxxxxxxxx> <00ec01bfd495$e5102780$8dceead8@xxxxxx> <011a01bfd49b$544fd280$2f55fd3e@xxxx> <009801bfd60f$4b3f33f0$5c2a42cf@xxxxxx> <010201bfd61f$28fd91a0$0755fd3e@xxxx> <014501bfd622$16a09cc0$5c2a42cf@xxxxxx> <01fe01bfd62f$ab92e100$5c2a42cf@xxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] Re: Bonds
Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 06:01:53 -0600
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<DIV>Trail a hook&nbsp;in an illiquid market and sometimes you catch a fish ... 
I was filled at the 38% retracement near the night session low. Am now long US 
for a&nbsp;position trade to&nbsp;99-18 before the rally is over.&nbsp;The 
Jun:Dec&nbsp;Fed Funds spread appears to have completed a 5 wave decline so 
there may not be much more upside in rate news for now.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Earl</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  Earl Adamy 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, June 14, 2000 12:37 
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: Bonds</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV>Here's a picture of a trading dilemma ... a huge run without the typical 
  retracements and countable wave structure giving rise to risk of a major 
  retracement. My resolution was to take the $1000+ per contract profit when the 
  buy stops above 97-19 failed to generate any follow-through. I've plotted the 
  standard fib retracements starting with 25% and plotted a magenta line at a 45 
  degree price angle. Frequently, a 45&nbsp;degree angle will provide support in 
  price and time when price has&nbsp;run extremely strongly without a 
  retracement. The overall&nbsp;picture looks quite bullish&nbsp;and I will be 
  trailing a buy stop should we get a correction.</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Earl.</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Thu Jun 15 09:26:24 2000
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From: "Gram" <gramario@xxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] R: Re: Bonds
Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 14:23:31 +0200
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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4>Where is your prot. stop?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=4></FONT>Gram.</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><BR>&nbsp;</DIV></FONT>
    <DIV>Trail a hook in an illiquid market and sometimes you catch a fish ... I 
    was filled at the 38% retracement near the night session low. Am now long US 
    for a position trade to&nbsp;99-18 before the rally is over.&nbsp;The 
    Jun:Dec&nbsp;Fed Funds spread appears to have completed a 5 wave decline so 
    there may not be much more upside in rate news for now.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Earl</DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
        <DIV 
        style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
        <A href="mailto:eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx"; title=eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>Earl 
        Adamy</A> </DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
        href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
        title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, June 14, 2000 
        12:37 PM</DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: Bonds</DIV>
        <DIV><BR></DIV>
        <DIV>Here's a picture of a trading dilemma ... a huge run without the 
        typical retracements and countable wave structure giving rise to risk of 
        a major retracement. My resolution was to take the $1000+ per contract 
        profit when the buy stops above 97-19 failed to generate any 
        follow-through. I've plotted the standard fib retracements starting with 
        25% and plotted a magenta line at a 45 degree price angle. Frequently, a 
        45&nbsp;degree angle will provide support in price and time when price 
        has&nbsp;run extremely strongly without a retracement. The 
        overall&nbsp;picture looks quite bullish&nbsp;and I will be trailing a 
        buy stop should we get a correction.</DIV>
        <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV>Earl.</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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Subject: [RT] Re: Bonds
Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 14:40:56 +0100
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I appreciate you went long near the night session 
lows, but where would you have your stop on a trade like this?&nbsp;&nbsp; I 
cannot find your target, as it is not the contract high, nor other points that I 
would have thought it might have been.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>From my standpoint, I saw the market take off in 
your direction, but when it could not reach yesterday's high, I 
wondered....&nbsp;&nbsp; when it came back and the broke the intraday low, that 
was when as a daytrader I had to get short - filled at ^05 - and am looking at a 
target of 96^17, if we take out 96^31 first.&nbsp; My stop is tucked up behind 
the intraday low, but I do my best not to turn a winning trade into a losing one 
and am quite prepared to pull the plug if it becomes obvious on the way to 
it.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Depending on where your stop is, we can both make 
our 'different' money out of this.&nbsp;&nbsp; As usual, we will see - but no 
stress, if we can take out ^31....&nbsp;</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Bill Eykyn<BR><A 
href="http://www.t-bondtrader.com";>www.t-bondtrader.com</A><BR>"Learn to read 
the tape"</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  Earl Adamy 
  </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, June 15, 2000 1:01 
  PM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: Bonds</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV>Trail a hook&nbsp;in an illiquid market and sometimes you catch a fish 
  ... I was filled at the 38% retracement near the night session low. Am now 
  long US for a&nbsp;position trade to&nbsp;99-18 before the rally is 
  over.&nbsp;The Jun:Dec&nbsp;Fed Funds spread appears to have completed a 5 
  wave decline so there may not be much more upside in rate news for now.</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Earl</DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
    Earl Adamy 
    </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, June 14, 2000 12:37 
    PM</DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: Bonds</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV>Here's a picture of a trading dilemma ... a huge run without the 
    typical retracements and countable wave structure giving rise to risk of a 
    major retracement. My resolution was to take the $1000+ per contract profit 
    when the buy stops above 97-19 failed to generate any follow-through. I've 
    plotted the standard fib retracements starting with 25% and plotted a 
    magenta line at a 45 degree price angle. Frequently, a 45&nbsp;degree angle 
    will provide support in price and time when price has&nbsp;run extremely 
    strongly without a retracement. The overall&nbsp;picture looks quite 
    bullish&nbsp;and I will be trailing a buy stop should we get a 
    correction.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Earl.</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Thu Jun 15 09:26:39 2000
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From: "T-Bondtrader" <t-bondtrader@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] Don't like where the spoo is going
Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 14:51:37 +0100
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Have taken 10 ticks, as I don't like the Spoo's 
strong looking southerly march.&nbsp;&nbsp; Could be wrong - but 10 ticks in 
hand is a good way of being wrong!&nbsp; I can join again if it 
retraces...</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Bill Eykyn<BR><A 
href="http://www.t-bondtrader.com";>www.t-bondtrader.com</A><BR>"Learn to read 
the tape"</FONT></DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Thu Jun 15 09:26:36 2000
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From: "Gram" <gramario@xxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] R: Re: Bonds
Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 16:00:06 +0200
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<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Target is standard 0.618 EW.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I am also interested in where Earl's stop 
    is.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Gram.<BR></DIV></FONT>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I appreciate you went long near the night 
    session lows, but where would you have your stop on a trade like 
    this?&nbsp;&nbsp; I cannot find your target, as it is not the contract high, 
    nor other points that I would have thought it might have been.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>From my standpoint, I saw the market take off 
    in your direction, but when it could not reach yesterday's high, I 
    wondered....&nbsp;&nbsp; when it came back and the broke the intraday low, 
    that was when as a daytrader I had to get short - filled at ^05 - and am 
    looking at a target of 96^17, if we take out 96^31 first.&nbsp; My stop is 
    tucked up behind the intraday low, but I do my best not to turn a winning 
    trade into a losing one and am quite prepared to pull the plug if it becomes 
    obvious on the way to it.</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Depending on where your stop is, we can both 
    make our 'different' money out of this.&nbsp;&nbsp; As usual, we will see - 
    but no stress, if we can take out ^31....&nbsp;</FONT></DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Bill Eykyn<BR><A 
    href="http://www.t-bondtrader.com";>www.t-bondtrader.com</A><BR>&quot;Learn 
    to read the tape&quot;</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
        <DIV 
        style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
        <A href="mailto:eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx"; title=eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>Earl 
        Adamy</A> </DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
        href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
        title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, June 15, 2000 1:01 
        PM</DIV>
        <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: Bonds</DIV>
        <DIV><BR></DIV>
        <DIV>Trail a hook&nbsp;in an illiquid market and sometimes you catch a 
        fish ... I was filled at the 38% retracement near the night session low. 
        Am now long US for a&nbsp;position trade to&nbsp;99-18 before the rally 
        is over.&nbsp;The Jun:Dec&nbsp;Fed Funds spread appears to have 
        completed a 5 wave decline so there may not be much more upside in rate 
        news for now.</DIV>
        <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
        <DIV>Earl</DIV>
        <BLOCKQUOTE 
        style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 solid 2px; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
            <DIV 
            style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
            <A href="mailto:eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx"; title=eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>Earl 
            Adamy</A> </DIV>
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
            href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
            title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> 
            </DIV>
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, June 14, 2000 
            12:37 PM</DIV>
            <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: Bonds</DIV>
            <DIV><BR></DIV>
            <DIV>Here's a picture of a trading dilemma ... a huge run without 
            the typical retracements and countable wave structure giving rise to 
            risk of a major retracement. My resolution was to take the $1000+ 
            per contract profit when the buy stops above 97-19 failed to 
            generate any follow-through. I've plotted the standard fib 
            retracements starting with 25% and plotted a magenta line at a 45 
            degree price angle. Frequently, a 45&nbsp;degree angle will provide 
            support in price and time when price has&nbsp;run extremely strongly 
            without a retracement. The overall&nbsp;picture looks quite 
            bullish&nbsp;and I will be trailing a buy stop should we get a 
            correction.</DIV>
            <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
            <DIV>Earl.</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Thu Jun 15 09:26:40 2000
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From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <00c401bfd48b$1962a0e0$2f55fd3e@xxxx> <002601bfd492$7bf794c0$8348fea9@xxxxxxxxxxx> <00ec01bfd495$e5102780$8dceead8@xxxxxx> <011a01bfd49b$544fd280$2f55fd3e@xxxx> <009801bfd60f$4b3f33f0$5c2a42cf@xxxxxx> <010201bfd61f$28fd91a0$0755fd3e@xxxx> <014501bfd622$16a09cc0$5c2a42cf@xxxxxx> <01fe01bfd62f$ab92e100$5c2a42cf@xxxxxx> <03ac01bfd6c1$88d3d740$5c2a42cf@xxxxxx> <007b01bfd6cf$6b200c60$3759fd3e@xxxx>
Subject: [RT] Re: Bonds
Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 08:06:36 -0600
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<DIV>Entry on 38% retracement calls for initial stop at 62% retracement (96-26) 
and rally from 38% retracement offered double bottom on 5 minute chart 
at&nbsp;97-06&nbsp;at which to place a stop. Am now flat bonds and considering 
probable direction of next move - this decline is impulsive on 5 minute chart 
suggesting another leg down to retest this morning's lows (or lower). 
Considering the decline in Fed Funds spread, it could well&nbsp;be back down to 
the base of that daily symmetrical triangle I posted a few day ago.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Earl</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A href="mailto:t-bondtrader@xxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=t-bondtrader@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>T-Bondtrader</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A href="mailto:eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx</A> ; <A 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, June 15, 2000 7:40 
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [RT] Re: Bonds</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I appreciate you went long near the night session 
  lows, but where would you have your stop on a trade like this?&nbsp;&nbsp; I 
  cannot find your target, as it is not the contract high, nor other points that 
  I would have thought it might have been.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>From my standpoint, I saw the market take off in 
  your direction, but when it could not reach yesterday's high, I 
  wondered....&nbsp;&nbsp; when it came back and the broke the intraday low, 
  that was when as a daytrader I had to get short - filled at ^05 - and am 
  looking at a target of 96^17, if we take out 96^31 first.&nbsp; My stop is 
  tucked up behind the intraday low, but I do my best not to turn a winning 
  trade into a losing one and am quite prepared to pull the plug if it becomes 
  obvious on the way to it.</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Depending on where your stop is, we can both make 
  our 'different' money out of this.&nbsp;&nbsp; As usual, we will see - but no 
  stress, if we can take out ^31....&nbsp;</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>Bill Eykyn<BR><A 
  href="http://www.t-bondtrader.com";>www.t-bondtrader.com</A><BR>"Learn to read 
  the tape"</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <BLOCKQUOTE 
  style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
    <DIV 
    style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
    Earl Adamy 
    </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
    href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
    title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, June 15, 2000 1:01 
    PM</DIV>
    <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: Bonds</DIV>
    <DIV><BR></DIV>
    <DIV>Trail a hook&nbsp;in an illiquid market and sometimes you catch a fish 
    ... I was filled at the 38% retracement near the night session low. Am now 
    long US for a&nbsp;position trade to&nbsp;99-18 before the rally is 
    over.&nbsp;The Jun:Dec&nbsp;Fed Funds spread appears to have completed a 5 
    wave decline so there may not be much more upside in rate news for 
now.</DIV>
    <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
    <DIV>Earl</DIV>
    <BLOCKQUOTE 
    style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
      <DIV 
      style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
      Earl Adamy 
      </DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
      href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
      title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, June 14, 2000 12:37 
      PM</DIV>
      <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Re: Bonds</DIV>
      <DIV><BR></DIV>
      <DIV>Here's a picture of a trading dilemma ... a huge run without the 
      typical retracements and countable wave structure giving rise to risk of a 
      major retracement. My resolution was to take the $1000+ per contract 
      profit when the buy stops above 97-19 failed to generate any 
      follow-through. I've plotted the standard fib retracements starting with 
      25% and plotted a magenta line at a 45 degree price angle. Frequently, a 
      45&nbsp;degree angle will provide support in price and time when price 
      has&nbsp;run extremely strongly without a retracement. The 
      overall&nbsp;picture looks quite bullish&nbsp;and I will be trailing a buy 
      stop should we get a correction.</DIV>
      <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
      <DIV>Earl.</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <009601bfd6d0$d73e7700$3759fd3e@xxxx>
Subject: [RT] Re: Don't like where the spoo is going
Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 08:38:34 -0600
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<DIV>I'm real cautious on the spoo ... my timing models on both NYSE and NASDAQ 
remain bullish but the price action looks like trading range bound. Lots of 
cross-currents in equities, currencies, bonds ... am trading carefully as 
nothing seems to hold enough momentum to convert day trades into a position 
trade.</DIV>
<DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV>Earl</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE 
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
  <DIV 
  style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> 
  <A href="mailto:t-bondtrader@xxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=t-bondtrader@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>T-Bondtrader</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A 
  href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; 
  title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, June 15, 2000 7:51 
  AM</DIV>
  <DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Don't like where the spoo 
  is going</DIV>
  <DIV><BR></DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Have taken 10 ticks, as I don't like the Spoo's 
  strong looking southerly march.&nbsp;&nbsp; Could be wrong - but 10 ticks in 
  hand is a good way of being wrong!&nbsp; I can join again if it 
  retraces...</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Bill Eykyn<BR><A 
  href="http://www.t-bondtrader.com";>www.t-bondtrader.com</A><BR>"Learn to read 
  the tape"</FONT></DIV>
  <DIV>&nbsp;</DIV>
  <DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Thu Jun 15 09:26:51 2000
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From: Jpilleafe@xxxxxxx
Message-ID: <f.530f96a.267a462b@xxxxxxx>
Date: Thu, 15 Jun 2000 10:46:03 EDT
Subject: [RT] Re: Don't like where the spoo is going
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In a message dated 6/15/00 7:42:13 AM Pacific Daylight Time, 
eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx writes:

<< I'm real cautious on the spoo ... my timing models on both NYSE and NASDAQ 
remain bullish but the price action looks like trading range bound. >>


Thanks Earl for the note on the S&P500.  With regard to today and 
tomorrow,...do you have any feel for how "expiration" could affect things.  
The consensus expectation is for a bullish influence,..but I suspect not.  
Any thoughts appreciated.  Thanks in advance.  Regards,  JIM Pilliod