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<font size=3>Hello John,<br>
I can't seem to post to the RT list
but I do receive messages.<br>
I've tried twice sending this
with no success. Could you<br>
please forward this message
for me please:<br>
<br>
Hello realtraders,<br>
<br>
Just wanted to let everyone know of a new searchbale archive for
the<br>
RealTraders list as well as some others I've been working
on. The<br>
original script was intended for a message board which I
converted<br>
to an arhive with some good searching features.<br>
<br>
Because the default settings allows newly registered users to
post<br>
messages immediately upon completion of registration, which
is<br>
revokable, I have to manually register each person. I'd love
to<br>
hear some constructive criticism. Registration information
can be<br>
reached with this direct link:
www.tradersapex.com/forums.html,
and<br>
of course the main site is:
www.tradersapex.com.<br>
<br>
Did I mention that it's all FREE? Just a guy with too much
free<br>
time I guess :-) Hope you guys find it useful.<br>
<br>
-- <br>
Best regards,<br>
Tai
Nguyen
<a href="mailto:tainguyen@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx%A0%A0%A0%A0%A0%A0%A0"; eudora="autourl">mailto:tainguyen@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
</a> <br>
<br>
<br>
-- <br>
Best regards,<br>
Tai
mailto:tainguyen@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx<br>
<br>
</font></html></x-html>From ???@??? Fri Jun 02 06:31:37 2000
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Reply-To: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
From: "BobR" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <a6.51b0cab.266863ce@xxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] Re: Near Term Pivot dates...Observations and Questions (from Jim Pilliod)
Date: Thu, 1 Jun 2000 19:15:12 -0700
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Status:
>From the following quote on a market report(below) today and the condition
of the PCratios it looks like too much money has gone into the call side to
sustain much more of a rally, i.e. from the contrary view that is. Bob
Carvers Market Clues $C/$P just ticked back from the extreme bearish level
of 2 to 1. The CBOE Equity P/C is neutral, but the equity plus index is on
the edge of bearish/neutral. From the Yale Hirsch seasonality in recent
years, the second trading day of the month has the odds of being the high
day. So it seems we might get a bit of follow through on Friday and then
some profittaking.
BobR
-----------------------------------------------------------
"Size! Size! Size! All opening on the buy side," a pumped floor broker at
the Chicago Board Options Exchange said early Thursday.
Firms, identified only as major Wall Street investment banks, bought
thousands of June and July call options on leading technology and
large-capitalization stocks, including America Online Inc., Cisco Systems
Inc., General Electric Co., Micron Technology Inc. and Microsoft Corp.
The options orders, sometimes as large as 5,000 contracts, were the
equivalent of hundreds of thousands of shares of stock. "Three days ago
everyone was talking about the market getting smoked," the floor broker
said. "I don't know what changed, but everybody's opening" positions.
The fact that major firms were willing to wager millions of dollars in new
positions on technology stocks was viewed as a sign by some traders that the
stock market's rally was sustainable. Of course, all assumptions are up for
grabs if Friday's release of monthly unemployment data is stronger than
expected.
"We need another week to really see," a CBOE floor trader said, though he
was encouraged that options and stock volume accelerated Thursday. "If the
volume catches up, I think the rally will be real," he added.
Volatility, an important part of an options price that traders use to gauge
how likely a stock's price is to move in either direction, has declined
across trading floors. The option market's fear gauge, the CBOE's Market
Volatility Index, or VIX, declined 0.64 to 25.93.
Elsewhere in the options market:
- The CBOE's equity put/call ratio was 0.39. The ratio is traditionally
interpreted as a contrarian sentiment indicator, which holds that if too
many traders are bullish, then the smart approach is to be bearish. Using
this contrarian criteria, the index historically has been considered a
bullish sentiment indicator if it is around 0.75 to 1; neutral from 0.40 to
0.75 and bearish if it is below 0.40.
- The CBOE's index put/call ratio was 1.34. This ratio is also interpreted
as a contrarian sentiment indicator. The index is considered bullish if the
ratio is 1.5 or higher; neutral from 0.75 to 1.5 and bearish if it is below
0.75.
------------------------------------------------------
----- Original Message -----
From: <Jpilleafe@xxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, June 01, 2000 6:11 PM
Subject: [RT] Near Term Pivot dates...Observations and Questions (from Jim
Pilliod)
> Did not go through first time,..so this is second attempt at posting.
> Apollogies if received twice.
> ******************
>
> Hello RT'rs,
>
> Here are a few things I notice near term....06-02 (tomorrow) is a New Moon
> and a Bradley Model pivot date. Also shows as a likely near term pivot
from
> another method. And Tues. 06-06 is also a near term pivot date,...as is
13
> mkt days from 05-17 which in turn was 12 mkt days from 05-05 short term
high.
> So I am open minded to a turn here tomorrow (down??) into next Tuesday
> 06-06. Next time frame that looks important is the Full Moon date of
06-16.
> Also happens to be 19 mkt days from 05-19,...key 19-20 mkt day count off
> 12-31-99,...01-28-00, 02-25-00, 04-24-00, 05-19-00,....now 06-16,...and
next
> would be 07-14 which also happens to be a Full Moon. Agian,...New and
Full
> Moon dates have a habit of marking pivot dates.
>
> A couple things I had noted which I wondered if any others had thoughts
on:
>
> 1. At the end of May,...Venus was conjunct Mars. Supposedly this marks
> longer term turns,...anyone have any thougths?
>
> 2. From my notes,...I noted on 02-28 Ron McEwan posted to RT that Fourier
> Analysis of NYSE Adv/Dec, frequency of 78 days,...if holds then S&P500
will
> have a change of direction around May 30, 2000. Ron,...does your analysis
> still stand and do you think the late May time frame marked a "Low".
Thanks
> in advance Ron.
>
> 3. From my notes,...I noted on 02-28 Norm Winski posted that Jupiter will
> conjunct Saturn on 05-28-200,...cycle occurs every 19 1/2 yrs. and "May
> looks like it will be huge"...Message #160. Norman,...now that this
> timeframe has come and gone,..what is your interpretation for near or
> intermedatie term market direction.
> Thanks in advance Norman.
>
> Any thoughts or obervations sincerely appreciated. Best Regards to all.
>
> Jim Pilliod jpilleafe@xxxxxxx
>
>
>
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