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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>With the Spoo determined to come off, the bonds
clawed their way unwillingly up the hill, to close well off their
lows. However, with the NASDAQ 287 down and the S&P over 34
down, the bonds may well become the flight to safety and the retracement Ben is
looking for become a reality a little sooner than expected!</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Difficult times for the long term outlook, but much
is going to depend on what the PPI and Retail Sales figures are at 7.30
tomorrow. It should certainly create some movement in the bonds - which
way doesn't really matter - so long as it moves and doesn't
stall...</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I think that Greenspan is talking tomorrow isn't he
- that could be oil on troubled waters? Anyone know what time,
please?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Bill Eykyn<BR><A
href="http://www.t-bondtrader.com";>www.t-bondtrader.com</A><BR>"Learn to read
the tape"</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
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</x-html>From ???@??? Wed Apr 12 13:26:16 2000
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From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <068801bfa495$203b41e0$218c15cf@xxxx>
Subject: [RT] Re: Gold -- Ready to Break Out
Date: Wed, 12 Apr 2000 14:18:13 -0600
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<DIV>The two previous highly profitable gold futures trades (Sep99 and Feb00)
have been marked by a combination of very tight consolidation over multiple
months and strong On Balance Volume indicating steady accumulation prior to the
breakout. This combination made for very low risk trades with tight stops which
could be entered prior to the breakout and which were unlikely to be run/ruined
by the pit traders. I don't see either of these conditions present now. In fact,
OBV is showing signs of strong distribution. Not to say a gold rally can't or
won't happen, but it's been my experience that when trading gold and silver one
needs a very strong edge to avoid being taken to the cleaners in the pit.
Definitely not my cup of tea as the charts stand.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Earl</DIV>
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<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B>
<A href="mailto:jptaylor@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx"; title=jptaylor@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>James
Taylor</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, April 12, 2000 9:38
AM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Gold -- Ready to Break
Out</DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Wed Apr 12 13:28:08 2000
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From: "JW" <jw@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] RE: Re: Gold -- Ready to Break Out
Date: Wed, 12 Apr 2000 13:23:39 -0700
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Status:
Everyone seems to still believe that there is a connection
between gold price increases, increasing inflation & market
crashes. But there has been much published in the last year
about the fact that gold is not longer connected to these
factors in today's markets. If so, then gold might actually
go down, rather than up, confounding those still clinging to
old paradigms.
JW
-----Original Message-----
From: listmanager@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:listmanager@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]On
Behalf Of Owen Davies
Sent: Wednesday, April 12, 2000 12:45 PM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [RT] Re: Gold -- Ready to Break Out
Bill Eykyn observed:
> In the chart above, James, you reckon that gold is going
to break to the
north.
> In the bonds, such a wedge would make me think it was
going in the
opposite
> direction - south! I appreciate that gold is at a pretty
low price, but
is it usual
> with this commodity for the break to be against the angle
and not the
flat?
Actually, there's an even better reason not to go long.
Monex is on TV
selling
gold to the civilians again. Sure sign of a shorting
opportunity!
Owen Davies
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