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I went long the S&P500 at the close for reasons:
1. Tues 03-28 is in a 13 mkt day series count: Fri. 02-18 1346.07 low,
..Thurs 03-09 1401.69 high, Tues. 03-28 (long term Fibo/Gann date),
.next is 04-14 (Shows as pivot from 3 methods),..then 05-04 (New Moon,
and also hits from 2 different methods). The risk is that this is a turn
down from a high,..but I think not,..suspect we are setting up to rally
into 04-03 next short term pivot timeframe. Just my personal thought.
2. CBOE daily Index P/C ratio yesterday was almost 2.0,...
Today was okay,....but not great.
3. Europe managed to hold gains despite our weakness in the US
this morning...this is a switch from recent days,...and bodes well near term.
Importantly,..the June Nikkei futures are flat with cash,..this despite a 110
point drop in NASADAQ that they have not seen yet. Normally such tech
stock weakness would be a real negative for Nikkei. Suggests to me that
Japan should hold to go higher,..and if Europe steady,..the S&P500 futures
should be bid up in the overnight.
5. Oil down $.50 or so is constructive for equities,..as is a 30yr. Bond
yield
of 5.98%.
6. Lastly,..we are due for seasonal strength last 3 days of month,..and
first
two of next month,..pre IRA inflows till 04-15,...and record recent equity
fund inflows
all bode well for near term liquidity wise. So I am went long the S&P500 at
the close. Any thoughts?....Have a good evening. JIM P. Jpilleafe@xxxxxxx
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