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[RT] Re: Watch OPEC and boycotts


  • To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
  • Subject: [RT] Re: Watch OPEC and boycotts
  • From: "Gary Fritz" <fritz@xxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Tue, 28 Mar 2000 10:37:58 -0800
  • In-reply-to: <00a601bf98da$7c82c2a0$f01fbed8@xxxxxxx>

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> To catch up with inflation gas could easily go to $2.50 and if to
> the adjusted high prices of the early 80's look for $4.50 for
> about 2 seconds. 

Gas first hit $1/gallon in June of 1979.  (I was in Europe that 
month, and I remember reading the English-language newspapers about 
the lines and riots.)  At that time the CPI (according to 
http://www.stls.frb.org/fred/data/cpi/cpiaucns) was at 72.3.  It's 
now at 169.7, meaning that the equivalent price today would be $2.35. 
 The high during 1979 was higher than $1.00 so the equivalent high 
today might be $2.50 or even $3.00.

I don't remember what the high prices were during the 80's, nor when, 
but I don't think it was anywhere near $2.20 - $2.40, which would be 
the equivalent of $4.50 now.

Are we at a "high price" point now?  Who knows.  Maybe we've only 
begun to see the prices climb.  But they'd have to just about double 
to equal the highs set in 1979.

Gary