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<DIV>So far, all bond retracements on both the daily (June) and weekly
(unadjusted continuos) have been well contained by the 25% level at 94-0. Each
attempt at the 25% retracement has been sharply reversed. While
Tuesday's decline did penetrate the 25% retracement by just 5 ticks, the close
occurred near the high of the day. I think you'll find a bull flag on the weekly
which should stand unless price declines a lot closer to 93-02. Even on the
daily, I see what appears to be a completed ABC w.4 correction. The only bearish
indication I can find is that the time is a bit short for a w.4 which might
suggest further sideways action into an ABC. However, if bonds head north, the
correct is over!</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Earl</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B>
Stig O
</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Wednesday, March 15, 2000 3:11
AM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] Sv: Wedges on the
Bonds</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>It's interesting to see how differently we
look at the same picture.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>The way I interprete you lines, Bill, are TRIANGLES OR
PENNANTS and I would even like to draw your flat bottom triangle
differently.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>But in my book of chartpatterns we also see a rising wedge
ABCD and breakdowns of risings wedges are usually good trading vehicles, since
the moves are usually fast.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>The top at E, indicates weakness since it didn't reach the
upper trendline. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>the weakness was confirmed by the breakdown at
F.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Then we have a test from below of the Wedge at G, which
coincide with with your upper trendline. thus we have a rather strong
resistance.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Confirming that strong resistance, is the fact that the BDG
trendline has been touched 5 times.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Thus, we SHOULD, continue down from this level.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>However, if we don't, look for a powerful move up, since we
need power to penetrate the trendline AND we have a failure on the
downside.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>These failures often generates powerful moves in the oposite
direction.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>So, I would play it with a short trade and a stop and
reverse one tick above the top between E and G or above E, depending on you
trading style.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Looks like a lowrisk trade though, with a stop so close to
the close (if you don't use stop and reverse).</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Note however that I am not trading, so it's just my
opinion.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>regards</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Stig</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px">
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><BR> </DIV></FONT>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Just to continue the strand on wedges on the
bonds, here is a Gif file some might be interested to see - and care to
comment on, insofaras when they might think that there might be a break (to
the south?)</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>At least the last two days have had good sized
bars and there has been a good chance to put bread on the table, but if the
wedge is going to be contained for a bit, then there is going to be some
shrinkage before 'the off'. But I think the loading up of puts for the
position players cannot be put off for much longer... pun intended,
naturally!</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Mind you, if the Spoo goes on heading south
with such determination, the bonds might just pop out of the top of this
wedge and that would not be helpful. Still they are supposed to be the
safe haven instrument, aren't they?</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Take care,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Bill Eykyn<BR><A
href="http://www.t-bondtrader.com";>www.t-bondtrader.com</A><BR>"Learn to
read the tape"</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial
size=2></FONT> </DIV></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></BODY></HTML>
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From: "Earl Adamy" <eadamy@xxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <NDBBKNAKALNBGGHEJLHAGEHECEAA.warren53@xxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] Re: FUT - positions, orders, and thoughts
Date: Wed, 15 Mar 2000 06:37:15 -0700
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<DIV>I watch all of the major futures markets, but only trade a few at a time
..</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Bonds ... look very bullish</DIV>
<DIV>S&P ... modestly positive subject to further decline in NASDAQ</DIV>
<DIV>Silver ... frittering away its rally time</DIV>
<DIV>Gold ... appears to be under distribution</DIV>
<DIV>Copper ... any further decline suggests recession</DIV>
<DIV>Cattle ... short is running out of time, looking for long</DIV>
<DIV>Grains ... bullish, price objectives met, looking for pullback</DIV>
<DIV>Sugar ... expect retest of low, been yanked around enough in NY</DIV>
<DIV>Cocoa ... bullish, due for consolidation above weekly trendline</DIV>
<DIV>Cotton ... same as Cocoa</DIV>
<DIV>Currencies ... watching for cyclical bottoms</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Am generally boycotting NY markets.</DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV>Earl</DIV>
<BLOCKQUOTE
style="BORDER-LEFT: #000000 2px solid; MARGIN-LEFT: 5px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 0px; PADDING-LEFT: 5px; PADDING-RIGHT: 0px">
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B>
<A href="mailto:warren53@xxxxxxxxx"; title=warren53@xxxxxxxxx>Warren
Goldstein</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A
href="mailto:realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";
title=realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, March 14, 2000 5:19
PM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> [RT] FUT - positions, orders,
and thoughts</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Hi RT's,</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>As some of you know, I'm a 100 %
technically oriented trader.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>My methods are based on a combination of
Newton's Laws of Motion, Symmetrical Wave Analysis</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>and my own derivation of Wilder's Delta
Phenomenon.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>There's been relatively discussion of late
about actual trading. </SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>In order to inspire some trading
discussion, I thought I'd post my current positions, open orders and
thoughts.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>The following are for informational
purposes only: </SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>My current positions:</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Long June T-Bonds @ 94'02 ...... stop
raised to 93'26 ........ target 97'01.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Short June S+P 500 @ 1408.3 .... stop
lowered to 1414.1 ... target 1300.0.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Long May Silver @ 512 ............. stop
505.5 ...................... target 532.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Long May Cocoa @ 831 ............ stop
raised to 840 ........... target 908.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Short April Live Cattle @ 72.72 . stop
73.32 ...................... target 71.25.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Current open orders (may be adjusted with
further data):</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Selling June Nasdaq 100 @ 4509.95 .. stop
4735.05 ... target 3945.00.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Buying April Platinum @ 469.6 ..........
stop 444.9 ....... target 515.0.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Selling May Silver @ 534
................... stop 540.5 ....... target 485.5.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Buying May Soybeans @ 516 ...........
stop 507.75 ..... target 557.5.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Buying May Corn @ 227.25 .............
stop 224 .......... target 250.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Buying May Orange Juice @ 82.35 ... stop
80.45 ....... target 86.30.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Buying May Sugar @ 5.14 ................
stop 4.93 ......... target 5.70.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Buying April Feeder Cattle @ 83.32 ...
stop 82.17 ....... target 85.80.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000></SPAN> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Price targets:</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>June Dow Jones ........... down to
9485.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>June Aussie Dollar ........ down to
5982.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>June British Pound ........ up to
16084.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>June Canadian Dollar ... down to
6780.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>June Japanese Yen ....... up to
9729.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>June Swiss Franc .......... up to
6303. </SPAN></DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>May Cotton .................. up to
64.40.</SPAN></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><SPAN class=640551122-14032000>Any thoughts or comments?</SPAN><FONT
size=2></DIV>
<P><FONT size=3>Warren Goldstein<BR>Informational Commodity Trading
Advisor<BR>Email: <A
href="mailto:wsg@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx";>wsg@xxxxxxxxxxxxxx<SPAN
class=640551122-14032000>.</SPAN>com</A><BR>Website: <A
href="http://www.wsginvestments.com";>www.wsginvestments<SPAN
class=640551122-14032000>.</SPAN>com</A><BR></FONT></P></BLOCKQUOTE></FONT></BODY></HTML>
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Reply-To: "Jim White" <jwhite43@xxxxxxx>
From: "Jim White" <jwhite43@xxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] Shorting stocks
Date: Wed, 15 Mar 2000 05:40:02 -0800
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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I currently have accounts with National Discount
Brokers, Schwab, and Quick and Reilly and am not satisfied with the ability to
short stocks with any of them. Can anyone comment on a good discount
broker with which short positions can be entered quickly? Any
experience with the on screen shorting process at E-Trade? With the others I
have to talk to a broker to assure they can borrow the stock. Is there a
discount house out there where you can reach a broker without a lengthy
hold on the phone? Any information would be appreciated.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Jim White<BR>Pivot Research & Trading
Co.<BR>pivottrader.com</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Wed Mar 15 06:35:08 2000
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Date: Wed, 15 Mar 2000 07:50:07 -0600
From: Joe Frabosilio <joe6964@xxxxxxxx>
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Subject: [RT] Re: Shorting stocks
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Status:
Jim,
Try AB Watley, the Watley trader fairly good, but for shorting stocks I
perfer to use Level II. With the Level II its a lot easier and faster.
Joe Frabosilio
Jim White wrote:
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