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[RT] Re: Simple Trading System [also sold commercially]



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"Phil Lane" <patterntrader@xxxxxxxxxx> wrote:
> First I modified the code to calculate a realistic position size
> for each trade (see the part about "value99"), and then ran it on a
> daily SP chart back to 1982. Following is the code and the system
> report. Don't think I'll be trading this one. 

Not on the SP, that's for sure.  Aberration and similar simple trend-
followers don't do worth beans on the daily indexes.  You need to 
trade it on commodities that trend well.  Even then you need to trade 
a basket of commodities to even out the drawdowns.  With a strategy 
like that, you can do pretty well.  Mark Johnson posted some real-
money trading results with Aberration -- if I remember right he was 
averaging about 60% CAGR.

Gary