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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Hi all</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Buy June Live Cattle and Sell Oct. Live Cattle
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>It is a seasonal spread and it is time for traders to keep eye
on these contracts.. The Oct. contract is now higher than June
contract.. By now, the spread has narrowed. By late Feb. or early March,
the spread should begin to widen.. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>This has happened 18 times in the period from 1969-1988..
</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>comments suggestions?? </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>regards</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2>Gary Bodnar</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=2></FONT> </DIV></BODY></HTML>
</x-html>From ???@??? Fri Jan 21 14:22:12 2000
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From: "ROBERT ROESKE" <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
References: <005b01bf6456$7884d700$2001c1d1@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Subject: [RT] Re: GEN: YIELD CURVE
Date: Fri, 21 Jan 2000 14:16:54 -0800
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Status:
What is the ITX? Where is data available for it?
IRX = Tbill
FVX = 5 year T note
TNX = 10 year T note
FVX = 30 year bond
Bob
----- Original Message -----
From: Michael Ferguson <wl7bdn@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Friday, January 21, 2000 1:28 PM
Subject: [RT] GEN: YIELD CURVE
> RTs:
>
> I have a note from several years ago that states "when IRX > ITX there is
> always a recession, and there has never been a false signal. I have no
idea
> of the truth of this statement, but it was just discussed as credible on
> CNBC. I agnostic on this subject, but curious how index and option traders
> might consider this.
>
> Regards,
>
> Michael
>
>
>
>
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