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[RT] S&P 500 Neural Network Prediction



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<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>Hi all,</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2></FONT>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2>After not posting anything for almost a year 
now, I have developed a set of S&amp;P 500 futures model which I feel are now 
worthy.&nbsp; Attached is an example of the single best model I have in a five 
model group.&nbsp; Everything you see in the attachment is all out-of-sample 
results from 4-1-1999 forward thru today.&nbsp; This model uses only 4 inputs to 
predict the S&amp;P 500 market.&nbsp; They are all technical in nature and one 
is the one day change in the simple 5-day moving average of daily closing prices 
while the other three inputs are homemade.&nbsp; No inputs or outputs are 
optimized in this model.&nbsp; The system model produces even better results 
than this with a cumulative equity over $280,000 since 4-1-1999.&nbsp; There is 
some optimization in the system model in that its signal uses an equity voting 
of a 4-day simple moving average of the individual 5 models that comprise the 
system of models.&nbsp; I developed these models almost 2 months ago and they 
continue to perform extraordinarily.&nbsp; I plan to post this model and the 
system model's results on my web page periodically.&nbsp; We will see if the 
upward trend stays intact. - Brian Lee</FONT></DIV></BODY></HTML>
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