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[realtraders] S&P500 (Market Timing) {02}



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Hi Jim,

So far looks like you are right.

But I am looking for December "Tax Sales" week(s): black candlestick(s) on
the weekly chart. (Do they actually sell taxes?)

We had it for some time (DJIA):

Years:         Weeks Ended:

1998		12/04, 12/11
1997		12/12/, 12/9, 12/26
1996		12/06, 12/13
1995		12/22
1994		12/09
1993		12/31
1992		12/18
1991		12/13

And so on.

Why not this year too?

Waiting Alex.

At 06:25 AM 11/30/99 -0500, Jpilleafe@xxxxxxx wrote:
>(from Jim Pilliod,...dtd 11-30,.... 6:30am ECT) 
>
>Some brief thoughts on the near term: 
>
>Tues.11-30 has potential to be a short term pivot day,....potential low 
>(Turnaround Tues)  for the following reasons:
>
>1.  Seasonality,...last 2 trading days and first 4 trading days each month 
>tend to  have a favorable bias.
>
>2.  11-30 is 13 mkt days from low on 11-10-99,...was 13 days from high on 
>10-22.
>
>3.  Bonds look constructive if Dec contract 111^11 (Monday 11-29 low) can 
>hold.  
>
>4.  11-30 is weekly turn date for Bonds and CRB per Parallax neural net 
>projection.
>
>I will be watching sentiment (P/C ratio) which has been unfavorable going 
>into Tuesday for signs of increased fear (not seen yet).  Also,...I am wary 
>of being too constructive for a few more days,...as other methods (including 
>Bradley model,...etc) indicate that 12-02 is likely to be a key low date.  
>For position trades this may be an opportunity to "scale" into a longside 
>trade over the next 3 days.  Any rise from these levels may be short term in 
>nature,...maybe up only into 12-07 per 3 week cycle,..etc. 
>
>Any thoughts or feedback much appreciated.  
>
>Have a good day,....Jim Pilliod  jpilleafe@xxxxxxx
>