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There was an interesting study in TAS&C back in October 1996 titled
"Seasonality And The Presidential Election Cycle". Election year was a
pretty good year overall, second only to the 3rd year using S&P data from
1950-1995. June (+2%) & November (+2.32%) were the best months, May
(+.01%), February (+.08%) and March (+.19%) were the worst. Of course, we
have Y2K to worry about this time around. Even if the US is OK, will our
supply lines be cut by overseas countries who have not done their due
diligence? Just imagine what could happen if our supply of imported yuppie
coffee beans gets cut off <g>...
JW
-----Original Message-----
From: owner-realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
[mailto:owner-realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx]On Behalf Of Alexander Levitin
Sent: Saturday, November 27, 1999 11:36 AM
To: realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Subject: [realtraders] Just to remind you... {01}
>From WSJ:
"Every year ending in zero since 1960 has had a recession, notes Argus
Research Corp. economist Richard Yamarone. Only four decades in American
history have avoided the zero curse: 1860, 1880, 1940 and 1950".
>From Yale Hirsch "Don't Sell Stocks on Monday":
"Zero years have been dreadful years or have at least been hit hard before
turning up in 1960 (September), 1950 (July), 1970 (May) and 1980 (March)."
Also, years 1900, 1920, 1940, 1960, 1980, and 2000 (?) are election years.
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