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Re: [SM] Re: How far can it go 10/13/99



PureBytes Links

Trading Reference Links

No, it was written up in an previous issue of TASC.  Can't seem to find the
specific issue right now.  The June 1990 and Feb 1991 have articles by James
P Martin that are similar.  He takes the ratio of call volume to call open
interest and divides by the ratio of put volume to put open interest.  Then
he takes a ten day moving average of it and calls it the call/put TRIN.

Those looking for a reversal in the market might want to try plotting VIX in
a point and figure chart as attached.  It looks like we hit the 30 level
extreme today which is often a reversal point.

BobR

----- Original Message -----
From: M. Simms <prosys@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
To: ROBERT ROESKE <bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx>; swingmachine
<swingmachine@xxxxxxxxxxx>
Cc: realtraders <realtraders@xxxxxxxxxxxx>
Sent: Thursday, October 14, 1999 9:26 AM
Subject: RE: [SM] Re: How far can it go 10/13/99


> Is that Hines Ratio a proprietary indicator ?
>
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: ROBERT ROESKE [mailto:bobrabcd@xxxxxxxxxxxxx]
> > Sent: Wednesday, October 13, 1999 8:54 PM
> > To: swingmachine
> > Cc: realtraders
> > Subject: [SM] Re: How far can it go 10/13/99
> >
> >
> > Let's ask the opposite question also, "How high can it go?".  The
> > last three
> > times the OEX came off the 670 level it had sizeable gains in one or
more
> > days.  The time the modified Hines ratio hit the outright buy
> > calls level on
> > September 3 the OEX had a 20.39 up move the next day.  October
> > 4th it had a
> > 12.62 up.  August 13 it had 16.4 up.  June 28 it had a run all the way
to
> > 735.  Sentiment is even more negative today than previously and
> > the dollar,
> > interest rates, inflation environments, earnings are being looked
> > at with a
> > microscope this time.  Also tax loss selling and Y2k were not as
> > influential.
> >
> > BobRoeske
> >
> > ----- Original Message -----
> > From: Clyde Lee <clydelee@xxxxxxx>
> > To: swingmachine <swingmachine@xxxxxxxxxxx>
> > Sent: Wednesday, October 13, 1999 3:31 PM
> > Subject: [SM] How far can it go 10/13/99
> >
> >
> > > Well, as markets are prone to do, this one did NOT tak a breather
> > > today as I had anticipated but went right on down.
> > >
> > > Yesterday I mentioned that there had been 28 swings from similar
> > > market conditions in the past 3 years (that is all the 30 minute data
> > > I have).
> > >
> > > Today, to hell with finding the best method of projecting things,
> > > just show of those 28 swings that have occurred any that could
> > > still be met TIME and/or PRICE wise in this run.
> > >
> > > That is the picture today.  Worst case was a swing that would
> > > take us to  580  over the next 4 days.
> > >
> > > All the other possibilities are displayed -- no summing -- no
> > > nuttin -- just the facts!!!
> > >
> > > Clyde
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
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> > > SYTECH Corporation             email:   <clydelee@xxxxxxx>
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